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603456:SSEZhejiang Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time

CN¥16.89

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Zhejiang Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical is trading at CNY 16.89, well below its 20‑day (≈17.31), 50‑day (≈18.16) and 200‑day (≈17.87) moving averages, indicating short‑term pressure. The RSI sits at ~39, suggesting the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD remains bearish with a tiny negative histogram. Technical momentum is neutral, but the price is near the identified support level of CNY 16.20 and volume is trending upward, hinting at a possible bounce.
Fundamentally, the company shows a solid revenue growth of 7.4% and healthy margins (gross ~33%, operating ~27%). The forward PE of ~13.8 is well below the industry average of ~26.5, and the DCF‑derived fair value of CNY 25.05 provides a >40% upside potential. With a cash pile of CNY 2.71 bn against modest debt of CNY 0.14 bn, a dividend yield of 2.97% and a payout ratio near 61%, the dividend appears sustainable. The low beta (~0.24) and strong cash generation offset the relatively high volatility (≈24% 30‑day) and moderate leverage, positioning the stock as an undervalued, dividend‑supportive play in the specialty pharma CDMO space.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with rising volume
  • RSI indicating possible oversold condition
  • Bearish MACD suggesting caution

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward PE significantly below industry average
  • DCF fair value indicating substantial upside
  • Attractive dividend yield and strong cash position

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Growing demand for CDMO services in pharma
  • Robust free cash flow and low market beta
  • Sustained dividend and undervalued valuation metrics

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.40%
Profit Margin13.50%
P/E Ratio20.6
ROE8.29%
ROA5.55%
Debt/Equity1.55
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash FlowCN¥1.7B
Free Cash FlowCN¥1.0B
Industry P/E26.5

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI39.1
SupportCN¥16.20
ResistanceCN¥18.25
MA 20CN¥17.31
MA 50CN¥18.16
MA 200CN¥17.87
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.21

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥25.05
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.97%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.24
Volatility23.77%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.