601919:SSECOSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
CN¥15.78
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings trades at a trailing P/E of 5, dramatically below the industry average of 29, and its price of CNY 15.78 sits roughly 15% under the DCF‑derived fair value of 18.40. The stock enjoys a high dividend yield of 10.08% with a payout ratio near 50%, supported by solid operating cash flow and a cash‑to‑debt cushion where cash exceeds debt by more than CNY 95 billion. Technicals are modestly bullish – the price is above the 20‑day SMA, the MACD line is above its signal, and the RSI sits at 57, while volume is increasing, suggesting short‑term upward momentum toward the CNY 16.98 resistance. However, revenue has contracted by 20% year‑over‑year, and the sector remains cyclical with elevated 30‑day volatility of roughly 40%, tempering expectations for immediate earnings acceleration.
Overall, the combination of deep value metrics, strong dividend income, low market beta, and a sizable upside target supports a value‑oriented buy thesis, provided investors are comfortable with the sector’s cyclicality and the near‑term earnings dip.
Overall, the combination of deep value metrics, strong dividend income, low market beta, and a sizable upside target supports a value‑oriented buy thesis, provided investors are comfortable with the sector’s cyclicality and the near‑term earnings dip.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and rising volume indicating near‑term price strength
- Significant upside to the identified resistance level
- Low beta reducing market‑wide volatility exposure
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Substantial dividend yield providing cash return while waiting for earnings recovery
- DCF‑based valuation suggesting ~15% upside
- Strong balance sheet with cash far exceeding debt
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Cyclical nature of marine shipping may delay sustainable earnings growth
- Revenue contraction of 20% raises concerns about longer‑term demand
- Value cushion and dividend income mitigate downside risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-20.40%
Profit Margin16.78%
P/E Ratio5.0
ROE15.47%
ROA5.37%
Debt/Equity26.97
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥57.6B
Free Cash FlowCN¥13.8B
Industry P/E29.1
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI57.9
SupportCN¥14.30
ResistanceCN¥16.98
MA 20CN¥15.24
MA 50CN¥14.92
MA 200CN¥15.26
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥18.40
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield10.08%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.27
Volatility39.99%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.