We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

601898:SSEChina Coal Energy Co. Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-28 - not real-time

CN¥13.72

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

China Coal Energy (601898) is trading at a price modestly above its DCF fair value, with the market price sitting above the 20‑day SMA but still under the 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs, indicating a short‑term pullback within a longer‑term downtrend. The RSI hovers around the 50‑mark, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is positive, hinting at a brief bullish lift despite the overall bearish trend.
Fundamentally, the stock offers a low PE of ~12.6 versus an industry average of ~21.7, a solid dividend yield of over 3% supported by a comfortable payout ratio, and strong cash generation that keeps the debt‑to‑equity at a manageable ~35%.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs indicating bearish bias
  • High 30‑day volatility exceeding 50%
  • Limited upside to near‑term resistance

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Fundamental valuation still below industry multiples
  • Improving cash flow offsetting moderate debt levels

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Value‑oriented pricing relative to DCF and peers
  • Diversified business segments beyond pure coal mining
  • Strong balance‑sheet resilience amid sector transition

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-10.90%
Profit Margin12.34%
P/E Ratio12.6
ROE10.68%
ROA4.34%
Debt/Equity35.58
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥35.2B
Free Cash FlowCN¥12.1B
Industry P/E21.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI50.2
SupportCN¥11.97
ResistanceCN¥14.65
MA 20CN¥13.24
MA 50CN¥14.44
MA 200CN¥14.77
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.79

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥12.83
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.06%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.19
Volatility50.75%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.