601898:SSEChina Coal Energy Co. Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-28 - not real-time
CN¥13.72
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
China Coal Energy (601898) is trading at a price modestly above its DCF fair value, with the market price sitting above the 20‑day SMA but still under the 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs, indicating a short‑term pullback within a longer‑term downtrend. The RSI hovers around the 50‑mark, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is positive, hinting at a brief bullish lift despite the overall bearish trend.
Fundamentally, the stock offers a low PE of ~12.6 versus an industry average of ~21.7, a solid dividend yield of over 3% supported by a comfortable payout ratio, and strong cash generation that keeps the debt‑to‑equity at a manageable ~35%.
Fundamentally, the stock offers a low PE of ~12.6 versus an industry average of ~21.7, a solid dividend yield of over 3% supported by a comfortable payout ratio, and strong cash generation that keeps the debt‑to‑equity at a manageable ~35%.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs indicating bearish bias
- High 30‑day volatility exceeding 50%
- Limited upside to near‑term resistance
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Fundamental valuation still below industry multiples
- Improving cash flow offsetting moderate debt levels
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Value‑oriented pricing relative to DCF and peers
- Diversified business segments beyond pure coal mining
- Strong balance‑sheet resilience amid sector transition
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-10.90%
Profit Margin12.34%
P/E Ratio12.6
ROE10.68%
ROA4.34%
Debt/Equity35.58
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥35.2B
Free Cash FlowCN¥12.1B
Industry P/E21.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI50.2
SupportCN¥11.97
ResistanceCN¥14.65
MA 20CN¥13.24
MA 50CN¥14.44
MA 200CN¥14.77
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.79
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥12.83
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.06%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.19
Volatility50.75%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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STOCKThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.