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601788:SSEEverbright Securities Company Limited Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

CN¥16.07

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at 16.07, which sits below its 20‑day (16.43), 50‑day (16.99) and 200‑day (17.92) moving averages, underscoring a bearish technical backdrop. The RSI of 35 points to oversold conditions and the MACD histogram has turned marginally positive, hinting at a tentative short‑term bounce, but a decreasing volume trend dampens momentum.
Fundamentally, Everbright Securities appears stretched: a PE of 22 versus the industry average of 16.35 signals overvaluation, revenue contracted by 9.8%, and a staggering debt‑to‑equity of 180× with zero free cash flow raise solvency concerns. The modest dividend yield of 1.35% may not be sustainable given the high leverage, while a low beta (~0.15) limits market volatility but does not offset sector and regulatory headwinds in China’s capital‑markets.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • price near technical support
  • oversold RSI suggesting limited downside
  • declining volume limiting upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • PE well above industry average
  • high debt‑to‑equity ratio
  • negative revenue growth

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • sustained leverage and zero free cash flow
  • weak profitability metrics (ROE ~5%)
  • ongoing regulatory and sector pressures in China

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-9.80%
Profit Margin34.33%
P/E Ratio22.0
ROE5.48%
Debt/Equity180.63
P/B Ratio1.2
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI35.1
SupportCN¥15.88
ResistanceCN¥17.00
MA 20CN¥16.43
MA 50CN¥16.99
MA 200CN¥17.92
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.35%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.15
Volatility13.39%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.