601788:SSEEverbright Securities Company Limited Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
CN¥16.07
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading at 16.07, which sits below its 20‑day (16.43), 50‑day (16.99) and 200‑day (17.92) moving averages, underscoring a bearish technical backdrop. The RSI of 35 points to oversold conditions and the MACD histogram has turned marginally positive, hinting at a tentative short‑term bounce, but a decreasing volume trend dampens momentum.
Fundamentally, Everbright Securities appears stretched: a PE of 22 versus the industry average of 16.35 signals overvaluation, revenue contracted by 9.8%, and a staggering debt‑to‑equity of 180× with zero free cash flow raise solvency concerns. The modest dividend yield of 1.35% may not be sustainable given the high leverage, while a low beta (~0.15) limits market volatility but does not offset sector and regulatory headwinds in China’s capital‑markets.
Fundamentally, Everbright Securities appears stretched: a PE of 22 versus the industry average of 16.35 signals overvaluation, revenue contracted by 9.8%, and a staggering debt‑to‑equity of 180× with zero free cash flow raise solvency concerns. The modest dividend yield of 1.35% may not be sustainable given the high leverage, while a low beta (~0.15) limits market volatility but does not offset sector and regulatory headwinds in China’s capital‑markets.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price near technical support
- oversold RSI suggesting limited downside
- declining volume limiting upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- PE well above industry average
- high debt‑to‑equity ratio
- negative revenue growth
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- sustained leverage and zero free cash flow
- weak profitability metrics (ROE ~5%)
- ongoing regulatory and sector pressures in China
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-9.80%
Profit Margin34.33%
P/E Ratio22.0
ROE5.48%
Debt/Equity180.63
P/B Ratio1.2
Industry P/E16.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI35.1
SupportCN¥15.88
ResistanceCN¥17.00
MA 20CN¥16.43
MA 50CN¥16.99
MA 200CN¥17.92
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.35%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.15
Volatility13.39%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.