601766:SSECRRC Corporation Limited Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
CN¥5.76
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
CRRC shares are trading at CNY 5.76, just above the 20‑day SMA of 5.73 but well below the 50‑day (5.95) and 200‑day (6.82) averages, indicating a short‑term bearish bias. The RSI sits near 48, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram has turned positive, offering a modest bullish signal. Price is hovering close to the identified support at 5.53 and below the resistance of 5.96, implying limited upside unless a breakout occurs. Volatility over the past 30 days is around 15%, yet the stock’s beta of 0.14 points to very low market‑related risk.
Fundamentally, the company trades at a forward PE of 10.2 versus an industry average of 30.6, and its price‑to‑book is under 1, highlighting significant valuation headroom. A dividend yield of 5.56% with a payout ratio of 68% is backed by strong operating cash flow and a cash‑to‑debt ratio of roughly 3.4, supporting dividend sustainability. The DCF model suggests a fair value near CNY 14.6, more than double the current price, underscoring deep undervaluation. Revenue growth of 10.6% and solid margins further reinforce the growth narrative, while the low debt burden and robust free cash flow provide a solid financial cushion.
Fundamentally, the company trades at a forward PE of 10.2 versus an industry average of 30.6, and its price‑to‑book is under 1, highlighting significant valuation headroom. A dividend yield of 5.56% with a payout ratio of 68% is backed by strong operating cash flow and a cash‑to‑debt ratio of roughly 3.4, supporting dividend sustainability. The DCF model suggests a fair value near CNY 14.6, more than double the current price, underscoring deep undervaluation. Revenue growth of 10.6% and solid margins further reinforce the growth narrative, while the low debt burden and robust free cash flow provide a solid financial cushion.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with limited upside
- Bearish positioning relative to longer‑term moving averages
- Positive MACD histogram offering a slight rebound potential
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap to DCF fair value
- Attractive dividend yield backed by strong cash flow
- Revenue growth above 10% and improving operating margins
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Fundamental strengths: low PE, low PB, high cash reserves
- Sustained dividend policy with manageable payout ratio
- Strategic position in China’s rail infrastructure expansion
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.60%
Profit Margin4.86%
P/E Ratio12.3
ROE7.99%
ROA2.12%
Debt/Equity8.90
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash FlowCN¥20.2B
Free Cash FlowCN¥18.0B
Industry P/E30.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI47.7
SupportCN¥5.53
ResistanceCN¥5.96
MA 20CN¥5.73
MA 50CN¥5.95
MA 200CN¥6.82
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥14.60
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.56%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.14
Volatility15.07%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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STOCKThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.