TLKM:IDXPT Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk Class B Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
IDR 2,970.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
TLKM is currently trading well below its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, sitting just above a identified support zone. The RSI reading sits in oversold territory, while the MACD remains in a bearish configuration, indicating short‑term downside pressure. Nevertheless, daily volume has been on the rise, suggesting accumulating buyer interest. On the fundamentals side, the company posts strong gross and operating margins and delivers an ROE that outperforms many peers. Its price‑to‑earnings multiple is comfortably under the sector average and the dividend yield remains among the highest in the market.
Analyst consensus is bullish, with price targets positioned near the upper end of the 52‑week range, implying a sizable upside from current levels. The discounted cash‑flow valuation also points to a meaningful margin of safety. However, a payout ratio approaching 100 % and a moderate debt‑to‑equity ratio raise questions about dividend sustainability. The stock’s recent volatility and a historical drawdown of nearly a quarter add a layer of risk, though its low beta tempers market‑wide swings. Overall, the blend of attractive valuation, robust cash generation, and defensive sector exposure supports a buy stance for medium‑to‑long‑term investors.
Analyst consensus is bullish, with price targets positioned near the upper end of the 52‑week range, implying a sizable upside from current levels. The discounted cash‑flow valuation also points to a meaningful margin of safety. However, a payout ratio approaching 100 % and a moderate debt‑to‑equity ratio raise questions about dividend sustainability. The stock’s recent volatility and a historical drawdown of nearly a quarter add a layer of risk, though its low beta tempers market‑wide swings. Overall, the blend of attractive valuation, robust cash generation, and defensive sector exposure supports a buy stance for medium‑to‑long‑term investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price near support
- oversold RSI
- rising volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- undervalued relative to peers
- strong cash flow generation
- high dividend yield
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- strategic infrastructure spinoff potential
- stable earnings and margins
- defensive telecom sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-0.90%
Profit Margin14.77%
P/E Ratio13.5
ROE18.31%
ROA8.31%
Debt/Equity50.11
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash FlowIDR65250.0B
Free Cash FlowIDR28141.6B
Industry P/E17.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI31.0
SupportIDR 2,920.00
ResistanceIDR 3,660.00
MA 20IDR 3,349.00
MA 50IDR 3,467.20
MA 200IDR 3,208.70
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueIDR 3,407.84
Target PriceIDR 3,887.27
Upside/Downside30.88%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield7.15%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.22
Volatility40.94%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.