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601398:SSEIndustrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-16 - not real-time

CN¥8.08

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

The moving-average structure behind Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited is bullish at ¥8.08, with short-term averages leading the long-term ones. It has gained 7.4% over the past 30 days. RSI sits at 56.5, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. Watch ¥7.66 as support and ¥8.29 as the nearer resistance level.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 8.0 times earnings below a sector average of 16.1. The average analyst target implies 7.3% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 5.8% on a 54.8% profit margin. The 3.82% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 3/10, putting it in low territory. With 30-day volatility of 16.7%, a beta of -0.03 and a maximum drawdown of 16.7%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on buy, with conviction of 7/10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 7.55
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • P/E of 8.0 versus sector average of 16.1
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 7.55

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 8.0 versus sector average of 16.1
  • Analyst targets imply +7.3% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 54.8% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.80%
Profit Margin54.82%
P/E Ratio8.0
ROE8.91%
ROA0.69%
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-65543999488
Industry P/E16.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI56.5
SupportCN¥7.66
ResistanceCN¥8.29
MA 20CN¥8.01
MA 50CN¥7.79
MA 200CN¥7.55
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.71

Valuation

Target PriceCN¥8.67
Upside/Downside7.33%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.82%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.03
Volatility16.74%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.