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601398:SSEIndustrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-09 - not real-time

CN¥7.54

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Industrial and Commercial Bank of China trades at a trailing P/E of 7.46, well below the industry average of 16.9, and a P/B of 0.68, indicating a clear undervaluation. The stock offers a high dividend yield of 4.14% with a modest payout ratio of 30%, suggesting dividend sustainability despite a recent negative operating cash flow. Technicals show a bullish MACD histogram (+0.043) and an RSI of 61.9, but the overall trend is flagged as bearish and price sits just below the 200‑day SMA, near the resistance level of 7.65. Volume is increasing, supporting short‑term liquidity, while volatility over the past 30 days stands at 18.8% with a max drawdown of -16.7%. The beta of 0.14 underscores the stock’s low sensitivity to market swings, and the massive market cap and daily volumes mitigate liquidity concerns. Given the strong capital base, state backing, and attractive valuation, the stock is positioned for upside on a medium‑ to long‑term horizon.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish trend direction despite bullish MACD
  • Price near resistance at 7.65 CNY
  • Increasing volume supports liquidity

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation discount to peers (P/E 7.46 vs 16.9)
  • High dividend yield with low payout ratio
  • Strong capital position and low beta

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • State‑backed market leader with stable earnings
  • Sustainable dividend policy
  • Low market sensitivity and ample liquidity

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.40%
Profit Margin55.15%
P/E Ratio7.5
ROE8.89%
ROA0.70%
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-73994002432
Industry P/E16.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI61.9
SupportCN¥6.99
ResistanceCN¥7.65
MA 20CN¥7.25
MA 50CN¥7.39
MA 200CN¥7.55
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.29

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.14%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.14
Volatility18.78%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.