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601139:SSEShenzhen Gas Corporation Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-24 - not real-time

CN¥6.53

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Shenzhen Gas Corp. trades at a trailing P/E of 14.8, well below the industry average of 21.3, and a forward P/E of 8.9, suggesting the stock is undervalued relative to peers. The company delivers a solid 2.46% dividend yield with a modest 36% payout ratio, backed by positive free cash flow of ¥0.78 bn, indicating dividend sustainability. However, revenue has contracted by 9.3% YoY and the debt‑to‑equity ratio sits at a high 89.8%, flagging balance‑sheet pressure. Operating margins are modest at 6.7% and ROE is only 8.1%, underscoring limited growth momentum.
On the technical side, the 20‑day SMA (6.07) sits below the current price of ¥6.53, while the 50‑day SMA (6.22) and 200‑day SMA (6.71) remain above, reflecting a bearish trend. Yet the MACD histogram is positive (0.08) and the MACD signal is bullish, hinting at short‑term upside. RSI is at 68, approaching overbought territory, and the price is near the resistance level of ¥6.59, suggesting limited upside in the near term. Volume is increasing, supporting the recent price movement. The stock’s beta is extremely low (≈0.02) and 30‑day volatility is high at 24.5%, indicating low market correlation but sizable price swings. Overall, the blend of attractive valuation, reliable dividend, and defensive utility exposure is offset by earnings decline and leverage concerns.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance at ¥6.59
  • RSI approaching overbought
  • Bearish SMA alignment

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to industry P/E
  • Stable dividend yield
  • High debt-to-equity ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive forward P/E of 8.9
  • Defensive utility sector exposure
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-9.30%
Profit Margin4.96%
P/E Ratio14.8
ROE8.15%
ROA3.18%
Debt/Equity89.77
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥4.4B
Free Cash FlowCN¥780.7M
Industry P/E21.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI68.7
SupportCN¥5.49
ResistanceCN¥6.59
MA 20CN¥6.07
MA 50CN¥6.22
MA 200CN¥6.71
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.04

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.46%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.02
Volatility24.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.