601127:SSESeres Group Co. Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
CN¥101.93
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Seres Group is trading at CNY 101.93, which sits below the 20‑day (CNY 104.63), 50‑day (CNY 112.23) and 200‑day (CNY 130.54) moving averages, confirming a short‑term bearish trend. However, the MACD line has crossed above its signal (both around –3.5) producing a bullish signal, the RSI is at 40 indicating room for upside, and volume is on an increasing trend, suggesting buying pressure may be building as the price approaches the near‑term support of CNY 96.12 and the next resistance at CNY 113.45.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong growth and profitability: revenue rose 15.8% YoY, ROE stands at an impressive 36%, operating cash flow exceeds CNY 25 bn, and the balance sheet is solid with a debt‑to‑equity of just 16% and cash of CNY 59.8 bn. The dividend yield of 1.28% is well‑covered by a payout ratio of 28%, and the DCF‑derived fair value of CNY 157.6 points to a substantial undervaluation relative to the current price. Together, these metrics suggest that while short‑term price action may be choppy, the underlying business remains robust and offers upside potential.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong growth and profitability: revenue rose 15.8% YoY, ROE stands at an impressive 36%, operating cash flow exceeds CNY 25 bn, and the balance sheet is solid with a debt‑to‑equity of just 16% and cash of CNY 59.8 bn. The dividend yield of 1.28% is well‑covered by a payout ratio of 28%, and the DCF‑derived fair value of CNY 157.6 points to a substantial undervaluation relative to the current price. Together, these metrics suggest that while short‑term price action may be choppy, the underlying business remains robust and offers upside potential.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages but MACD bullish crossover
- RSI indicating modest upside potential
- Increasing volume supporting a possible bounce to resistance
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value
- Strong earnings growth and improving forward PE
- Robust cash generation and low leverage
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term EV industry tailwinds in China
- High ROE and sustainable dividend payout
- Durable balance sheet with ample liquidity
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth15.80%
Profit Margin4.84%
P/E Ratio22.2
ROE36.08%
ROA4.79%
Debt/Equity16.08
P/B Ratio6.0
Op. Cash FlowCN¥25.2B
Free Cash FlowCN¥8.4B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI40.3
SupportCN¥96.12
ResistanceCN¥113.45
MA 20CN¥104.63
MA 50CN¥112.23
MA 200CN¥130.54
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥157.64
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.28%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.03
Volatility30.60%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.