600779:SSESichuan Swellfun Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
CN¥29.03
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Sichuan Swellfun is trading below its short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, with a bearish MACD crossover and an RSI indicating limited upside momentum.
The company’s fundamentals show a high trailing PE, negative revenue growth, and a payout ratio exceeding 100%, raising concerns about dividend sustainability despite an attractive yield. High 30‑day volatility and a modest beta suggest price swings are pronounced but not strongly correlated with the broader market.
The company’s fundamentals show a high trailing PE, negative revenue growth, and a payout ratio exceeding 100%, raising concerns about dividend sustainability despite an attractive yield. High 30‑day volatility and a modest beta suggest price swings are pronounced but not strongly correlated with the broader market.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price below 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
- bearish MACD histogram
- elevated short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- high dividend yield offset by unsustainable payout ratio
- forward EPS guidance suggests modest earnings improvement
- persistent negative free cash flow and debt load
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- strong brand presence in the Chinese liquor market
- potential for revenue turnaround if consumer sentiment recovers
- ongoing concerns over cash generation and leverage
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-14.90%
Profit Margin13.36%
P/E Ratio36.3
ROE7.26%
ROA3.81%
Debt/Equity22.36
P/B Ratio2.7
Op. Cash FlowCN¥21.6M
Free Cash FlowCN¥-1746413440
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI37.9
SupportCN¥28.15
ResistanceCN¥36.96
MA 20CN¥31.45
MA 50CN¥32.18
MA 200CN¥38.56
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.34%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.58
Volatility49.03%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.