We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

600295:SSEInner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-04 - not real-time

CN¥13.57

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock trades at CNY 13.57, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of CNY 19.56, indicating a sizable upside potential. Dividend yield sits at 4.38% with a payout ratio of 66%, supported by solid operating cash flow (CNY 4.6 bn) and free cash flow (CNY 3.3 bn). The balance sheet shows a net cash position, as total cash (CNY 6.8 bn) exceeds total debt (CNY 5.1 bn), though the debt‑to‑equity ratio is elevated at 18.7. Revenue growth of 4.6% and a ROE of 10.9% reflect modest but steady operational performance. Technical indicators signal a neutral trend: the price is below the 20‑day SMA (CNY 14.14) and 50‑day SMA (CNY 14.71), RSI is at 36.6 (near oversold), and MACD remains bearish. Support at CNY 13.28 provides a floor, while decreasing volume raises short‑term liquidity concerns. Overall, the combination of undervaluation, attractive dividend, and resilient cash generation suggests the stock is a compelling value play despite modest growth and sector cyclicality.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near immediate support at CNY 13.28
  • Decreasing volume indicating limited short‑term buying pressure
  • Attractive dividend yield providing income while awaiting upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value suggests ~44% upside
  • Stable cash generation and net cash position
  • Moderate revenue growth and improving profitability margins

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to fundamentals and peer multiples
  • Sustainable dividend supported by cash flow
  • Long‑term exposure to China’s consumer cyclical recovery and diversified business lines

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.60%
Profit Margin9.84%
P/E Ratio14.9
ROE10.94%
ROA3.64%
Debt/Equity18.69
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash FlowCN¥4.6B
Free Cash FlowCN¥3.3B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI36.6
SupportCN¥13.28
ResistanceCN¥15.88
MA 20CN¥14.14
MA 50CN¥14.71
MA 200CN¥12.92
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.75

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥19.56
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.38%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.12
Volatility27.33%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.