600295:SSEInner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-04 - not real-time
CN¥13.57
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock trades at CNY 13.57, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of CNY 19.56, indicating a sizable upside potential. Dividend yield sits at 4.38% with a payout ratio of 66%, supported by solid operating cash flow (CNY 4.6 bn) and free cash flow (CNY 3.3 bn). The balance sheet shows a net cash position, as total cash (CNY 6.8 bn) exceeds total debt (CNY 5.1 bn), though the debt‑to‑equity ratio is elevated at 18.7. Revenue growth of 4.6% and a ROE of 10.9% reflect modest but steady operational performance. Technical indicators signal a neutral trend: the price is below the 20‑day SMA (CNY 14.14) and 50‑day SMA (CNY 14.71), RSI is at 36.6 (near oversold), and MACD remains bearish. Support at CNY 13.28 provides a floor, while decreasing volume raises short‑term liquidity concerns. Overall, the combination of undervaluation, attractive dividend, and resilient cash generation suggests the stock is a compelling value play despite modest growth and sector cyclicality.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near immediate support at CNY 13.28
- Decreasing volume indicating limited short‑term buying pressure
- Attractive dividend yield providing income while awaiting upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value suggests ~44% upside
- Stable cash generation and net cash position
- Moderate revenue growth and improving profitability margins
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to fundamentals and peer multiples
- Sustainable dividend supported by cash flow
- Long‑term exposure to China’s consumer cyclical recovery and diversified business lines
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.60%
Profit Margin9.84%
P/E Ratio14.9
ROE10.94%
ROA3.64%
Debt/Equity18.69
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash FlowCN¥4.6B
Free Cash FlowCN¥3.3B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI36.6
SupportCN¥13.28
ResistanceCN¥15.88
MA 20CN¥14.14
MA 50CN¥14.71
MA 200CN¥12.92
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.75
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥19.56
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.38%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.12
Volatility27.33%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.