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5838:TSERakuten Bank, Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

¥6,133.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook is decidedly bearish: the stock is trading beneath both short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, the MACD shows a bearish divergence, and momentum indicators sit in the lower half of their range. Volume is rising amid a backdrop of high price swings and a beta that exceeds the market, suggesting heightened sensitivity to broader moves. The price remains near a key support zone while analyst price targets imply a notable upside potential.
Fundamentals remain solid: revenue is expanding at a robust pace, operating margins are strong, and return on equity is healthy. The balance sheet is cash‑rich with debt levels that are manageable, and valuation multiples appear modest compared with peers. No dividend is paid, but analyst consensus leans toward a buy recommendation, and market sentiment is currently in a greedy phase.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • bearish technical momentum
  • price trading below key moving averages
  • elevated volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • strong earnings growth
  • valuation appears attractive relative to sector peers
  • potential for technical reversal

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • robust cash position supporting future initiatives
  • digital banking growth tailwinds
  • significant upside to analyst price targets

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth30.10%
Profit Margin36.91%
P/E Ratio17.1
ROE19.80%
ROA0.42%
P/B Ratio3.0
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.8
Support¥5,461.00
Resistance¥9,317.00
MA 20¥7,126.50
MA 50¥7,175.34
MA 200¥7,397.60
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price¥8,228.89
Upside/Downside34.17%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.19
Volatility79.31%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.