5803:TSEFujikura Ltd Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
¥24,065.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Fujikura Ltd. trades at a premium with a trailing P/E of 51, well above the industry average of 29.5, and a P/B of 13, indicating the market is pricing in strong growth expectations despite flat revenue growth. Technical signals are mixed: the stock sits just below its 20‑day SMA (24,320) but remains above the 50‑day (20,876) and 200‑day (14,701) averages, the RSI is neutral at 52, and a bearish MACD histogram (‑380) suggests short‑term momentum could soften. Volatility is high at nearly 80% over 30 days and beta is 1.34, reflecting greater sensitivity to market swings. The dividend yield of 1.06% with a payout ratio of 34% appears sustainable, and the upside potential of roughly 12% to the median target price (26,600) offers modest reward.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price just below 20‑day SMA indicating limited near‑term upside
- Bearish MACD histogram suggests possible short‑term pullback
- High 30‑day volatility (≈80%) raises downside risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish trend direction and price above 50‑day SMA
- Upside potential of ~12% to median analyst target
- Strong ROE (31%) and sustainable dividend yield
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Overvalued multiples limit long‑term price appreciation
- Diversified conglomerate business reduces single‑segment risk
- Stable cash generation and moderate payout support dividend continuity
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
P/E Ratio51.2
ROE31.14%
ROA13.44%
Debt/Equity23.26
P/B Ratio13.1
Industry P/E29.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI52.0
Support¥20,910.00
Resistance¥29,810.00
MA 20¥24,320.50
MA 50¥20,875.70
MA 200¥14,700.54
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.79
Valuation
Target Price¥26,920.91
Upside/Downside11.87%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.06%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.34
Volatility79.70%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.