570:HKEXChina Traditional Chinese Medicine Holdings Co. Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
¥400.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
JMC Corporation is trading at ¥400, well below its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs of ¥407.45 and ¥401.84, and also under the 200‑day SMA of ¥425.81, indicating a price that is technically soft. The RSI sits at 47.5, the MACD histogram is negative and the MACD signal is classified as bearish, reinforcing a neutral‑to‑bearish short‑term momentum. Fundamentally, the company posted a 10.4% revenue decline and a steep –39% profit margin, with trailing EPS of –¥12.77, but forward EPS is projected at ¥43.30, suggesting a potential earnings turnaround. The forward P/E of 9.24 is far below the industry average of 29.35, and the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥989.45 implies the stock is markedly undervalued. Balance‑sheet metrics show a moderate debt‑to‑equity of 45.4% and net cash of ¥425 million against ¥748 million of debt, while ROE remains negative at –55.5%. Market sentiment is in the “Extreme Greed” zone (Fear‑Greed Index 79.45), yet the 30‑day volatility of 39% and a low beta around 0.4 point to a stock that is both volatile and relatively insulated from broader market swings.
Given the technical weakness, the current earnings loss, and the thin trading volume (average volume ≈9,000 shares versus today’s 1,300), short‑term price pressure may persist. However, the sizable valuation gap, improving forward earnings outlook, and modest leverage provide a compelling case for a medium‑ to long‑term investment thesis, provided the company can execute its turnaround and capitalize on its niche 3D‑printing and industrial CT scanner businesses.
Given the technical weakness, the current earnings loss, and the thin trading volume (average volume ≈9,000 shares versus today’s 1,300), short‑term price pressure may persist. However, the sizable valuation gap, improving forward earnings outlook, and modest leverage provide a compelling case for a medium‑ to long‑term investment thesis, provided the company can execute its turnaround and capitalize on its niche 3D‑printing and industrial CT scanner businesses.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Technical indicators (price below SMAs, bearish MACD)
- Current negative earnings and profit margin
- Low trading volume increasing price volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward EPS forecast of ¥43.30 indicating earnings recovery
- Valuation disparity (DCF fair value ¥989 vs market ¥400)
- Low beta suggesting limited market‑wide risk
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained undervaluation relative to industry peers
- Strategic position in growing 3D‑printing and industrial CT markets
- Potential for improved ROE and cash generation over multiple years
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-10.40%
Profit Margin-39.19%
P/E Ratio9.2
ROE-55.54%
ROA1.72%
Debt/Equity45.42
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow¥667.0M
Free Cash Flow¥429.0M
Industry P/E29.3
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI47.5
Support¥377.00
Resistance¥429.00
MA 20¥407.45
MA 50¥401.84
MA 200¥425.81
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index79.45
Valuation
Fair Value¥989.45
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.39
Volatility39.09%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.