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570:HKEXChina Traditional Chinese Medicine Holdings Co. Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

¥400.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

JMC Corporation is trading at ¥400, well below its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs of ¥407.45 and ¥401.84, and also under the 200‑day SMA of ¥425.81, indicating a price that is technically soft. The RSI sits at 47.5, the MACD histogram is negative and the MACD signal is classified as bearish, reinforcing a neutral‑to‑bearish short‑term momentum. Fundamentally, the company posted a 10.4% revenue decline and a steep –39% profit margin, with trailing EPS of –¥12.77, but forward EPS is projected at ¥43.30, suggesting a potential earnings turnaround. The forward P/E of 9.24 is far below the industry average of 29.35, and the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥989.45 implies the stock is markedly undervalued. Balance‑sheet metrics show a moderate debt‑to‑equity of 45.4% and net cash of ¥425 million against ¥748 million of debt, while ROE remains negative at –55.5%. Market sentiment is in the “Extreme Greed” zone (Fear‑Greed Index 79.45), yet the 30‑day volatility of 39% and a low beta around 0.4 point to a stock that is both volatile and relatively insulated from broader market swings.
Given the technical weakness, the current earnings loss, and the thin trading volume (average volume ≈9,000 shares versus today’s 1,300), short‑term price pressure may persist. However, the sizable valuation gap, improving forward earnings outlook, and modest leverage provide a compelling case for a medium‑ to long‑term investment thesis, provided the company can execute its turnaround and capitalize on its niche 3D‑printing and industrial CT scanner businesses.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Technical indicators (price below SMAs, bearish MACD)
  • Current negative earnings and profit margin
  • Low trading volume increasing price volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward EPS forecast of ¥43.30 indicating earnings recovery
  • Valuation disparity (DCF fair value ¥989 vs market ¥400)
  • Low beta suggesting limited market‑wide risk

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained undervaluation relative to industry peers
  • Strategic position in growing 3D‑printing and industrial CT markets
  • Potential for improved ROE and cash generation over multiple years

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-10.40%
Profit Margin-39.19%
P/E Ratio9.2
ROE-55.54%
ROA1.72%
Debt/Equity45.42
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow¥667.0M
Free Cash Flow¥429.0M
Industry P/E29.3

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI47.5
Support¥377.00
Resistance¥429.00
MA 20¥407.45
MA 50¥401.84
MA 200¥425.81
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

Fair Value¥989.45
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.39
Volatility39.09%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.