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5233:TSETaiheiyo Cement Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

¥3,707.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading below its short‑term moving averages, indicating recent price weakness. The relative strength index is in the oversold region, suggesting a potential bounce. The MACD histogram remains negative, confirming bearish momentum at present. Trading volume has been rising, providing a healthy liquidity cushion as the price hovers near the identified support level. Despite the technical bearishness, the broader trend indicator flags bullish direction, and the market sentiment index reads in the “Greed” zone. The beta is well below one, meaning it moves less than the overall market and adds a defensive tilt to the profile.
On the valuation side, the company trades at a low price‑to‑earnings multiple and a sub‑one price‑to‑book ratio, positioning it as undervalued relative to peers. Analysts project a forward earnings boost, driving the forward PE into a lower range and supporting a target price that implies a substantial upside. The dividend yield of around three percent combined with a payout ratio under twenty percent points to a sustainable income stream. While the balance sheet carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio, the firm holds ample cash and generates modest returns on equity and assets. The consensus recommendation is a “Buy,” reflecting confidence in the earnings outlook and the attractive valuation gap. Consequently, the stock presents a compelling case for investors seeking value with a modest dividend and limited market volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Oversold RSI suggests near‑term bounce
  • Price at key support level
  • Bearish MACD momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued valuation metrics
  • Forward earnings growth expectations
  • Attractive dividend yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend policy
  • Diversified business segments reduce cyclicality
  • Low beta provides defensive profile

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin2.57%
P/E Ratio8.0
ROE3.72%
ROA3.19%
Debt/Equity62.13
P/B Ratio0.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI31.1
Support¥3,694.00
Resistance¥4,832.00
MA 20¥4,299.55
MA 50¥4,252.94
MA 200¥3,925.14
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price¥4,751.67
Upside/Downside28.18%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.70%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.43
Volatility45.04%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.