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5021:TSECosmo Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

MYR 0.20

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

AYS Ventures is trading at MYR 0.20, well below its 20‑day (MYR 0.209), 50‑day (MYR 0.220) and 200‑day (MYR 0.244) simple moving averages, signaling a clear bearish bias. The RSI sits at 42, just under the neutral 50 mark, while the MACD line remains under its signal with a negative histogram, reinforcing downside momentum. Valuation multiples are exceptionally low – a trailing P/E of 0.11 and a P/B of 0.19 – and the DCF‑derived fair value of MYR 4.79 suggests a massive discount to intrinsic value. However, the stock offers a high dividend yield of 5.66%, albeit on a shrinking earnings base.
Fundamentally, the company posted a 30.8% revenue decline, razor‑thin gross (7.9%) and operating margins (2.4%), and a negative ROE, reflecting weak profitability. Debt is high at MYR 379 M versus cash of MYR 41 M, giving a debt‑to‑equity of 84%, while free cash flow remains positive at MYR 172 M. The combination of high leverage, negative earnings, and a payout ratio of 0 raises questions about the sustainability of the dividend despite its attractiveness.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major SMAs and negative MACD
  • Proximity to support level at MYR 0.18
  • Elevated 30‑day volatility (~48%)

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High dividend yield offset by earnings weakness
  • Positive free cash flow despite revenue decline
  • Elevated leverage and negative ROE

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value indicates large upside potential
  • Potential for turnaround in steel demand
  • Undervalued valuation multiples relative to peers

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-30.80%
Profit Margin0.25%
P/E Ratio0.1
ROE-0.70%
ROA0.59%
Debt/Equity84.43
P/B Ratio0.2
Op. Cash FlowMYR164.8M
Free Cash FlowMYR172.5M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI42.3
SupportMYR 0.18
ResistanceMYR 0.22
MA 20MYR 0.21
MA 50MYR 0.22
MA 200MYR 0.24
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueMYR 4.79
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.66%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.57
Volatility48.64%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.