4938:TWSEPegatron Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
NT$70.10
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Pegatron’s stock is trading just above its 20‑day SMA, which sits marginally higher than the 50‑day SMA, suggesting a neutral technical stance. The MACD line sits below its signal line, flagging a bearish momentum, while the RSI hovers around the 48‑point mid‑range, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. Volatility over the past 30 days is around 21 % and the beta of roughly 0.63 points to a lower‑than‑market systematic risk. The dividend yield is an eye‑catching 6.4 % but the payout ratio is near 94 %, and free cash flow is negative, raising concerns about sustainability. A discounted cash‑flow model values the company at roughly TWD 141, well above the current price of TWD 70, implying a substantial undervaluation.
Fundamentally, revenue has slipped by about 12 % year‑over‑year and margins remain thin, with gross margin just under 4 % and operating margin around 1 %. The forward P/E of ~12 is well below the industry average of 37, underscoring a value tilt, yet analysts collectively rate the stock “underperform.” Geographic exposure to Taiwan, China and the United States adds geopolitical risk, while the technology hardware sector is cyclical. In sum, the stock offers an attractive dividend and a potentially large upside from valuation gaps, but faces earnings pressure and sustainability challenges.
Fundamentally, revenue has slipped by about 12 % year‑over‑year and margins remain thin, with gross margin just under 4 % and operating margin around 1 %. The forward P/E of ~12 is well below the industry average of 37, underscoring a value tilt, yet analysts collectively rate the stock “underperform.” Geographic exposure to Taiwan, China and the United States adds geopolitical risk, while the technology hardware sector is cyclical. In sum, the stock offers an attractive dividend and a potentially large upside from valuation gaps, but faces earnings pressure and sustainability challenges.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD divergence
- Price close to technical support
- High dividend yield but sustainability concerns
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF‑derived fair value far above market price
- Low beta and attractive dividend yield
- Forward earnings growth outpacing trailing EPS
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Structural demand for electronics and IoT components
- Persistent thin margins and negative free cash flow
- Elevated geopolitical and regulatory exposure in key markets
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-12.40%
Profit Margin1.15%
P/E Ratio14.7
ROE6.92%
ROA1.01%
Debt/Equity32.41
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash FlowNT$33.2B
Free Cash FlowNT$-9746489344
Industry P/E37.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI48.5
SupportNT$67.90
ResistanceNT$74.20
MA 20NT$70.54
MA 50NT$70.07
MA 200NT$74.29
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.63
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$141.60
Target PriceNT$73.18
Upside/Downside4.39%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.41%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.63
Volatility21.19%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.