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4922:TSEKOSE Holdings Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

¥5,757.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

KOSE Holdings is trading below its short‑term moving average while remaining above its longer‑term averages, indicating a mixed short‑term signal. The relative strength index sits near the midpoint, suggesting neither strong buying nor selling pressure, and the MACD is in a bearish configuration, reinforcing a cautious outlook. Volume has been slipping and 30‑day volatility is elevated, but the stock’s beta is exceptionally low, reflecting limited systematic risk.
Fundamentally, the company delivers solid revenue growth and high gross margins, yet operating and profit margins are modest. Cash reserves are ample and debt is relatively low, supporting a healthy balance sheet, while the dividend payout is sustainable at a mid‑2% yield. However, free cash flow is negative and the discounted cash flow model places intrinsic value well below the current price, aligning with the consensus under‑performance rating.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and price below short‑term SMA
  • Decreasing volume and high recent volatility
  • Current price exceeds DCF‑derived fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash position and manageable debt
  • Consistent revenue growth and attractive dividend yield
  • Defensive consumer sector providing stability

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Robust brand portfolio and market presence
  • Potential for margin improvement and cash flow turnaround
  • Low beta and defensive industry positioning

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.70%
Profit Margin4.58%
P/E Ratio21.8
ROE5.41%
ROA2.97%
Debt/Equity3.50
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow¥11.1B
Free Cash Flow¥-15393375232

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI47.2
Support¥5,560.00
Resistance¥6,322.00
MA 20¥5,936.65
MA 50¥5,685.62
MA 200¥5,689.44
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.55

Valuation

Fair Value¥3,905.84
Target Price¥5,588.33
Upside/Downside-2.93%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.39%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.23
Volatility30.76%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.