4904:TWSEFar Eastone Telecommunications Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
NT$91.80
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Far EasTone is currently trading at TWD 91.8, which sits above its 200‑day SMA of 88.33 but below the 20‑day SMA of 92.43, indicating long‑term bullishness with short‑term pressure. The stock enjoys a low beta of 0.33 and 30‑day volatility of 19%, pointing to relatively stable price movements. Technicals show a bullish overall trend but a bearish MACD histogram and a neutral RSI of 50.4, implying mixed short‑term momentum. Support at 89.8 and resistance at 95.7 frame the next trading range. Fundamental indicators reveal a 12% QoQ revenue growth and a 5.5% full‑year increase, with an operating margin of 14.2% and free cash flow of TWD 22.2 bn. The dividend yield of 3.88% is attractive, though the payout ratio of 94% borders on unsustainable.
Valuation is highlighted by a DCF‑derived fair value of TWD 126.3, suggesting roughly 12% upside from the current price. However, the trailing P/E of 24.2 is well above the industry average of 17.8, indicating a premium valuation on earnings. The company's debt‑to‑equity of 57% and strong cash generation keep leverage moderate. With a forward EPS of 4.41, the forward P/E contracts to about 20.8, narrowing the valuation gap. The “Greed” reading on the fear‑greed index (72.9) reflects market optimism toward the stock. Taken together, the blend of solid growth, high dividend yield, and modest upside positions Far EasTone as cautiously attractive.
Valuation is highlighted by a DCF‑derived fair value of TWD 126.3, suggesting roughly 12% upside from the current price. However, the trailing P/E of 24.2 is well above the industry average of 17.8, indicating a premium valuation on earnings. The company's debt‑to‑equity of 57% and strong cash generation keep leverage moderate. With a forward EPS of 4.41, the forward P/E contracts to about 20.8, narrowing the valuation gap. The “Greed” reading on the fear‑greed index (72.9) reflects market optimism toward the stock. Taken together, the blend of solid growth, high dividend yield, and modest upside positions Far EasTone as cautiously attractive.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above support at 89.8
- Bearish MACD histogram signaling caution
- Low beta and modest volatility limiting downside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value indicating ~12% upside
- Strong free cash flow supporting dividend and growth
- Revenue growth of 12% QoQ and attractive dividend yield
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Stable telecom sector with low long‑term risk
- Consistent earnings and cash generation
- High dividend yield offset by elevated payout ratio
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth12.10%
Profit Margin12.45%
P/E Ratio24.2
ROE14.89%
ROA5.88%
Debt/Equity57.18
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash FlowNT$32.9B
Free Cash FlowNT$22.2B
Industry P/E17.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI50.4
SupportNT$89.80
ResistanceNT$95.70
MA 20NT$92.43
MA 50NT$90.58
MA 200NT$88.33
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$126.32
Target PriceNT$103.00
Upside/Downside12.20%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.88%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.33
Volatility19.41%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.