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489790:KRXHanwha Vision Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-12 - not real-time

₩45,300.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hanwha Vision is trading at KRW 45,300, well below its 20‑day (KRW 56,540), 50‑day (KRW 67,468) and 200‑day (KRW 61,209) moving averages, with a bearish MACD histogram and an RSI of 31.9 indicating lingering oversold momentum. The forward P/E of 1,215x versus an industry average of 31x, together with a DCF fair value of roughly KRW 23,850, points to a price that is markedly overvalued, while the “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (94.6) suggests speculative enthusiasm may be inflating the stock.
Fundamentally, the company posted a 2.3% revenue decline, thin profit margins (1.9% net), and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 78.9, leaving it cash‑constrained despite KRW 264 bn in cash. High 30‑day volatility (≈101%) and decreasing volume add to the uncertainty, making the near‑term outlook cautious despite a modest beta of 0.48.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major moving averages
  • Bearish MACD and low RSI
  • Extreme market greed versus DCF undervaluation

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue contraction and high leverage
  • Potential sector stabilization and modest gross margin
  • Valuation pressure from fair‑value gap

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Zero EPS and no dividend payout
  • Strategic ties to Hanwha Aerospace may provide upside
  • Sustained overvaluation risk amid high debt

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-2.30%
Profit Margin1.91%
P/E Ratio1215.6
Debt/Equity78.88
Op. Cash Flow₩177.2B
Industry P/E31.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI32.0
Support₩41,900.00
Resistance₩76,500.00
MA 20₩56,540.00
MA 50₩67,468.00
MA 200₩61,209.25
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.59

Valuation

Fair Value₩23,849.85
Target Price₩82,000.00
Upside/Downside81.02%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.48
Volatility100.89%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.