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4680:TSEROUND ONE Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

¥893.10

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Round One Corp is trading well beneath its short‑term and long‑term moving averages, with technical indicators pointing to a bearish outlook. The RSI is in oversold territory while the MACD remains bearish, and price is hovering close to a key support level. Volatility is elevated and beta is near market levels, suggesting price swings that could test support further. Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued with a modest PE, a solid dividend yield backed by a low payout ratio, and analysts collectively rating it as a strong buy, implying significant upside potential. However, the company carries a high debt load and reports zero operating cash flow, which raises concerns about dividend sustainability and financial resilience.
Given the current technical weakness, short‑term pressure may persist, but the valuation gap and attractive dividend provide a compelling case for medium‑ to long‑term investors who can tolerate volatility and the sector’s cyclical nature.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • bearish MACD and price below key moving averages
  • proximity to technical support with high volatility
  • elevated debt burden limiting upside in the near term

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • undervalued valuation metrics offering upside
  • strong analyst consensus of a strong buy
  • moderate dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • significant upside potential relative to current price
  • potential recovery in leisure spending post‑pandemic
  • attractive dividend yield if cash flow improves

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.60%
P/E Ratio15.2
ROE19.93%
ROA7.28%
Debt/Equity235.14
P/B Ratio3.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI31.6
Support¥886.20
Resistance¥1,077.00
MA 20¥983.39
MA 50¥1,063.49
MA 200¥1,229.17
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price¥1,372.00
Upside/Downside53.62%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.02%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.02
Volatility41.29%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.