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4527:TSERohto Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time

NT$39.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Kuen Ling Machinery trades around TWD 39, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of roughly TWD 93, indicating a substantial discount. The stock’s trailing PE of 11.6 is dramatically lower than the industry average of 32.8, underscoring its relative cheapness. With a dividend yield near 7.7% and a payout ratio of about 95%, the company offers one of the highest cash returns on the market. Strong balance‑sheet metrics—cash of TWD 1.15 bn versus debt of only TWD 0.21 bn and a debt‑to‑equity of just 12%—provide ample headroom to sustain the payout. Operating margins sit at 10.4% and free cash flow exceeds earnings, supporting the view that cash generation is healthy. However, revenue has contracted 5.6% year‑over‑year, reflecting a modest slowdown in the cooling‑equipment segment.
Technically, the 20‑day SMA (≈39.23) sits just above the current price, while the 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs remain higher, signaling a bearish bias. The RSI of 38.9 suggests the stock is not yet oversold, and the MACD histogram shows a tiny bullish tilt, hinting at a possible short‑term rebound. Volume has been trending lower, and the price is flirting with a support level near TWD 38.7, adding pressure to the near‑term outlook. The beta of 0.08 and 30‑day volatility of about 11% point to a very defensive price profile, limiting downside risk. Given the stark valuation gap, solid cash flow and dividend attractiveness, the stock appears compelling for investors with a medium‑ to long‑term horizon. Nonetheless, the current bearish technical setup and shrinking trading activity counsel caution in the short run.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical trend
  • Price near support
  • Decreasing volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF valuation gap
  • Low PE vs industry
  • Strong cash flow and low leverage

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable high dividend yield
  • Defensive beta and volatility
  • Long‑term demand for cooling solutions

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-5.60%
Profit Margin8.89%
P/E Ratio11.6
ROE15.27%
ROA5.83%
Debt/Equity12.18
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash FlowNT$629.3M
Free Cash FlowNT$477.9M
Industry P/E32.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.9
SupportNT$38.70
ResistanceNT$40.55
MA 20NT$39.23
MA 50NT$40.61
MA 200NT$40.80
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$92.76
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield7.69%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.08
Volatility11.06%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.