4452:TSEKao Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-08 - not real-time
¥3,443.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Kao Corporation trades at ¥3,443.00, with its short-term moving averages stacked above the longer-term ones — a bullish trend structure. The last 30 days have gained 4.8%. With RSI at 44.5 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Recent trading has carved out support near ¥3,414.00 and resistance around ¥3,757.00.
Multiples put this in fair territory at a P/E of 24.7. Analyst price targets sit 13.6% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 9.4% on a 7.8% profit margin. The 2.26% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 42.7%, a beta of -0.19 and a maximum drawdown of 15.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 4/10 conviction.
Multiples put this in fair territory at a P/E of 24.7. Analyst price targets sit 13.6% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 9.4% on a 7.8% profit margin. The 2.26% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 42.7%, a beta of -0.19 and a maximum drawdown of 15.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 4/10 conviction.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 3181.30
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 3181.30
- Analyst targets imply +13.6% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply +13.6% versus the current price
- P/E ratio of 24.7
- 30-day volatility of 42.7%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.40%
Profit Margin7.77%
P/E Ratio24.7
ROE12.32%
ROA6.55%
Debt/Equity20.64
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash Flow¥208.4B
Free Cash Flow¥108.3B
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI44.5
Support¥3,414.00
Resistance¥3,757.00
MA 20¥3,558.95
MA 50¥3,409.12
MA 200¥3,181.30
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.64
Valuation
Fair Value¥2,350.07
Target Price¥3,912.31
Upside/Downside13.63%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.26%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.19
Volatility42.73%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.