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443060:KRXHD Hyundai Marine Solution Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-18 - not real-time

₩221,000.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at about 221,000 KRW, well above the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly 131,500 KRW, implying a sizable premium of over 40%. Technical signals are mixed: the 20‑day SMA sits near 242,760 KRW, placing the price below this moving average, while the RSI at 47 suggests neutral momentum. The MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, indicating short‑term downside pressure. Volume has been trending downwards, which may limit price support in the near term. Nonetheless, the broader trend remains bullish, with the price comfortably above the identified support of 179,700 KRW. Market sentiment is at an “Extreme Greed” level (fear‑greed index 87.38), adding speculative enthusiasm.
Fundamentally, HDHMS delivers robust growth, posting 11.4% revenue expansion and an impressive ROE of 33.7%, well above industry averages. Margins are solid (gross 22.9%, operating 17.5%) and free cash flow exceeds 250 billion KRW, underscoring strong cash generation. The balance sheet is conservative, with cash of 564 billion KRW and modest debt, resulting in a low debt‑to‑equity profile. The dividend yield of 1.93% is backed by a payout ratio near 35%, indicating sustainability. While the stock appears overvalued on a DCF basis, its growth trajectory and defensive industry positioning support a buy case over medium to long horizons. Investors should monitor the MACD and volume trends for short‑term entry timing.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Decreasing volume trend
  • Price below 20‑day SMA

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth of ~11% YoY
  • ROE above 30%
  • Strong cash position with low debt

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Secular demand for marine and defense services
  • Sustainable dividend payout
  • High return on equity

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth11.40%
Profit Margin13.60%
P/E Ratio22.8
ROE33.73%
ROA18.05%
Debt/Equity2.17
Op. Cash Flow₩324.1B
Free Cash Flow₩250.9B
Industry P/E29.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.2
Support₩179,700.00
Resistance₩287,000.00
MA 20₩242,760.00
MA 50₩203,966.00
MA 200₩201,872.00
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.38

Valuation

Fair Value₩131,523.76
Target Price₩316,000.00
Upside/Downside42.99%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.93%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.90
Volatility86.05%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.