4206:TSEAica Kogyo Company, Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time
¥3,677.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Aica Kogyo trades at ¥3,677, sitting just above the 30‑day support of ¥3,660 and below the 20‑day SMA of ¥3,843, indicating a modest price cushion but still in a technically bearish pocket despite the overall bullish trend flag. The RSI of 40.6 suggests the stock is not yet oversold, while the MACD histogram remains strongly negative, signalling short‑term momentum weakness; however, volume is increasing and the 30‑day volatility of 23.6% is high, though the beta of 0.13 points to very low market‑wide risk.
Fundamentally, the stock appears attractively priced: a trailing P/E of 14.3 is well below the industry average of 29.9, and the price‑to‑book of 1.29 aligns with a fair valuation. The dividend yield of 3.68% with a 53% payout ratio is supported by a strong cash position (¥55.3 bn) versus debt (¥38.6 bn), and analysts project a 15% upside to a median target of ¥4,150, reinforcing the undervalued case.
Fundamentally, the stock appears attractively priced: a trailing P/E of 14.3 is well below the industry average of 29.9, and the price‑to‑book of 1.29 aligns with a fair valuation. The dividend yield of 3.68% with a 53% payout ratio is supported by a strong cash position (¥55.3 bn) versus debt (¥38.6 bn), and analysts project a 15% upside to a median target of ¥4,150, reinforcing the undervalued case.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above recent support
- Bearish MACD momentum
- Attractive dividend yield
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued P/E relative to peers
- Projected 15% upside to target price
- Strong cash balance and sustainable dividend
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Low beta indicating limited market volatility exposure
- Consistent profitability metrics (ROE ~10%)
- Stable dividend policy with solid payout coverage
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
P/E Ratio14.3
ROE10.47%
ROA6.13%
Debt/Equity19.82
P/B Ratio1.3
Industry P/E30.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI40.6
Support¥3,660.00
Resistance¥4,008.00
MA 20¥3,843.05
MA 50¥3,686.34
MA 200¥3,643.95
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76
Valuation
Target Price¥4,233.33
Upside/Downside15.13%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.68%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.13
Volatility23.60%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.