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4188:TSEMitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

NT$13.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

AmCad BioMed is trading at TWD 13, just above the computed support of TWD 12.55, while the 20‑day SMA (13.60) sits below both the 50‑day (14.16) and 200‑day (15.23) averages, confirming a bearish trend. The RSI of 32 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, yet the MACD histogram remains negative, reinforcing downside momentum. Volatility is elevated at 23% over the past 30 days and beta is modest (≈0.65), indicating sensitivity to market swings without extreme correlation. Fundamentals are weak: revenue has collapsed by 72%, operating and profit margins are negative, and cash flow is deeply in the red, though the balance sheet shows ample cash (TWD 371 M) versus minimal debt (TWD 4.75 M). The price‑to‑book ratio of 1.58 and a sky‑high price‑to‑sales of 27 imply the market is pricing in future growth that is not reflected in current earnings. The Fear & Greed Index sits at 72.9 (“Greed”), but without earnings or dividend support, that optimism appears speculative. Overall, the technical setup is bearish, the financial health is deteriorating, and valuation metrics appear stretched, suggesting caution for investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical indicators (price below SMA50/200, negative MACD)
  • Negative earnings and cash flow
  • Price near support with limited upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Large cash buffer may fund product development
  • Potential regulatory approvals could unlock value
  • Continued revenue decline raises uncertainty

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental turnaround required for sustainable growth
  • Valuation remains stretched relative to earnings outlook
  • Geopolitical and currency exposure in Taiwan

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-72.10%
Profit Margin-183.06%
ROE-11.29%
ROA-8.34%
Debt/Equity0.79
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash FlowNT$-47062000
Free Cash FlowNT$-28861876
Industry P/E26.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI31.9
SupportNT$12.55
ResistanceNT$14.80
MA 20NT$13.60
MA 50NT$14.16
MA 200NT$15.23
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.65
Volatility23.19%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.