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4164:TADAWULNahdi Medical Company Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

SAR 103.60

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Nahdi Medical Company trades above its discounted cash‑flow estimate, indicating the market is pricing in a premium despite a solid dividend yield. Technical signals are mixed: the RSI sits in the upper half of its range, the MACD remains bullish, and the price is above the short‑term moving averages but still below the long‑term average, suggesting a neutral to slightly positive momentum.
The fundamentals are compelling – earnings growth, a return on equity above 30%, and a dividend yield that ranks among the higher in the Saudi market – yet the company carries a relatively high debt load and an almost ninety‑percent payout ratio, raising questions about dividend sustainability. The low beta and extreme‑greed market sentiment temper the volatility risk, but the decreasing volume and elevated 30‑day price swings add a cautionary note.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD but neutral overall trend
  • Price approaching near‑term resistance
  • Decreasing volume and elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst price targets suggest sizable upside
  • Strong ROE and consistent earnings growth
  • Attractive dividend yield despite payout concerns

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable earnings and cash‑flow generation
  • Regulatory environment relatively stable for healthcare retailers
  • High leverage and near‑maximum dividend payout warrant caution

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.60%
Profit Margin8.14%
P/E Ratio16.8
ROE33.00%
ROA8.96%
Debt/Equity71.47
P/B Ratio5.4
Op. Cash FlowSAR1.4B
Free Cash FlowSAR689.2M
Industry P/E26.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI58.4
SupportSAR 91.50
ResistanceSAR 108.00
MA 20SAR 99.90
MA 50SAR 97.56
MA 200SAR 110.91
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

Fair ValueSAR 78.75
Target PriceSAR 131.28
Upside/Downside26.71%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.71%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.09
Volatility29.18%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.