4164:TADAWULNahdi Medical Company Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
SAR 103.60
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Nahdi Medical Company trades above its discounted cash‑flow estimate, indicating the market is pricing in a premium despite a solid dividend yield. Technical signals are mixed: the RSI sits in the upper half of its range, the MACD remains bullish, and the price is above the short‑term moving averages but still below the long‑term average, suggesting a neutral to slightly positive momentum.
The fundamentals are compelling – earnings growth, a return on equity above 30%, and a dividend yield that ranks among the higher in the Saudi market – yet the company carries a relatively high debt load and an almost ninety‑percent payout ratio, raising questions about dividend sustainability. The low beta and extreme‑greed market sentiment temper the volatility risk, but the decreasing volume and elevated 30‑day price swings add a cautionary note.
The fundamentals are compelling – earnings growth, a return on equity above 30%, and a dividend yield that ranks among the higher in the Saudi market – yet the company carries a relatively high debt load and an almost ninety‑percent payout ratio, raising questions about dividend sustainability. The low beta and extreme‑greed market sentiment temper the volatility risk, but the decreasing volume and elevated 30‑day price swings add a cautionary note.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD but neutral overall trend
- Price approaching near‑term resistance
- Decreasing volume and elevated short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Analyst price targets suggest sizable upside
- Strong ROE and consistent earnings growth
- Attractive dividend yield despite payout concerns
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable earnings and cash‑flow generation
- Regulatory environment relatively stable for healthcare retailers
- High leverage and near‑maximum dividend payout warrant caution
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.60%
Profit Margin8.14%
P/E Ratio16.8
ROE33.00%
ROA8.96%
Debt/Equity71.47
P/B Ratio5.4
Op. Cash FlowSAR1.4B
Free Cash FlowSAR689.2M
Industry P/E26.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI58.4
SupportSAR 91.50
ResistanceSAR 108.00
MA 20SAR 99.90
MA 50SAR 97.56
MA 200SAR 110.91
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45
Valuation
Fair ValueSAR 78.75
Target PriceSAR 131.28
Upside/Downside26.71%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.71%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.09
Volatility29.18%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.