4091:TSENippon Sanso Holdings Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
¥5,698.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Price is trading just above the short‑term moving average with momentum indicators in a neutral to slightly bearish stance. The relative strength index sits comfortably in the middle range, while the MACD shows a bearish divergence, suggesting limited upside momentum. Support sits around the lower‑mid‑range of the recent band and resistance near the upper‑range, framing a modest price corridor. Volatility is elevated but beta remains below half, indicating the stock moves less than the broader market. Market sentiment is at an extreme greed level, yet the discounted cash flow model points to a price that is modestly above intrinsic value, implying a slight overvaluation. Dividend yield is just over one percent with a low payout ratio, and the balance sheet shows ample cash offset by a sizable debt load. Fundamentals reveal steady revenue growth, respectable margins, and improving earnings per share, supported by a forward price‑to‑earnings ratio that is lower than the trailing figure. The company operates across multiple regions, diversifying geographic exposure and reducing concentration risk. Given the blend of technical restraint and solid fundamentals, the outlook leans toward a hold in the near term with potential upside over longer horizons.
Investors should monitor the next earnings cycle for margin trends and any shifts in debt servicing, while the dividend remains a modest but reliable income component.
Investors should monitor the next earnings cycle for margin trends and any shifts in debt servicing, while the dividend remains a modest but reliable income component.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- technical momentum leaning bearish
- valuation slightly above intrinsic value
- stable but modest dividend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- continued earnings growth
- improving forward earnings multiple
- dividend sustainability
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- global diversification across gas markets
- strong cash position supporting strategic investments
- industry tailwinds for specialty gases
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.70%
Profit Margin8.58%
P/E Ratio22.8
ROE10.51%
ROA4.89%
Debt/Equity72.51
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow¥260.9B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI55.7
Support¥5,343.00
Resistance¥6,147.00
MA 20¥5,707.00
MA 50¥5,198.42
MA 200¥5,225.30
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index78.16
Valuation
Fair Value¥5,733.09
Target Price¥5,500.00
Upside/Downside-3.47%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.03%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.54
Volatility40.33%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.