4013:TADAWULDr. Sulaiman Al-Habib Medical Services Group Co. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
SAR 249.60
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Fundamental overview: Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group shows robust revenue growth and solid operating margins, backed by an attractive return on equity. The company carries a high level of debt relative to equity, and its price is notably above the discounted cash flow fair value, indicating an overvalued market perception. Dividend yield sits around the low‑double‑digit percent range with a payout ratio approaching seven‑tenths, raising questions about long‑term sustainability given negative free cash flow. Recent material news includes an initial long‑term credit rating of AA‑ pi and approval for an IPO, both of which reinforce the firm’s credibility and potential capital‑raising capacity.
Technical outlook: The stock is currently in a bearish trend, trading near a key support level while facing resistance at a higher threshold. Momentum indicators show a bullish histogram despite the overall downtrend, and the RSI sits in a neutral zone, suggesting limited upside momentum. Volume remains stable, and volatility is moderate, implying that price swings are manageable. The combination of strong fundamentals with a short‑term bearish technical backdrop leads to a nuanced investment perspective.
Technical outlook: The stock is currently in a bearish trend, trading near a key support level while facing resistance at a higher threshold. Momentum indicators show a bullish histogram despite the overall downtrend, and the RSI sits in a neutral zone, suggesting limited upside momentum. Volume remains stable, and volatility is moderate, implying that price swings are manageable. The combination of strong fundamentals with a short‑term bearish technical backdrop leads to a nuanced investment perspective.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- bearish trend with price near support
- neutral momentum indicators
- stable trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- strong revenue growth and operating margins
- AA‑ pi credit rating enhancing financial credibility
- dividend yield offset by overvaluation concerns
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- high return on equity and expanding healthcare demand
- credit rating upgrade supporting long‑term financing
- consistent earnings performance despite valuation premium
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.30%
Profit Margin17.52%
P/E Ratio36.4
ROE31.07%
ROA7.48%
Debt/Equity110.39
P/B Ratio11.1
Op. Cash FlowSAR3.4B
Free Cash FlowSAR-1072593664
Industry P/E25.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI54.9
SupportSAR 215.00
ResistanceSAR 263.00
MA 20SAR 243.59
MA 50SAR 252.40
MA 200SAR 256.54
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index76.55
Valuation
Fair ValueSAR 181.33
Target PriceSAR 287.28
Upside/Downside15.09%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield2.10%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.03
Volatility22.21%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.