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4013:TADAWULDr. Sulaiman Al-Habib Medical Services Group Co. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

SAR 249.60

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Fundamental overview: Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group shows robust revenue growth and solid operating margins, backed by an attractive return on equity. The company carries a high level of debt relative to equity, and its price is notably above the discounted cash flow fair value, indicating an overvalued market perception. Dividend yield sits around the low‑double‑digit percent range with a payout ratio approaching seven‑tenths, raising questions about long‑term sustainability given negative free cash flow. Recent material news includes an initial long‑term credit rating of AA‑ pi and approval for an IPO, both of which reinforce the firm’s credibility and potential capital‑raising capacity.
Technical outlook: The stock is currently in a bearish trend, trading near a key support level while facing resistance at a higher threshold. Momentum indicators show a bullish histogram despite the overall downtrend, and the RSI sits in a neutral zone, suggesting limited upside momentum. Volume remains stable, and volatility is moderate, implying that price swings are manageable. The combination of strong fundamentals with a short‑term bearish technical backdrop leads to a nuanced investment perspective.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • bearish trend with price near support
  • neutral momentum indicators
  • stable trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • strong revenue growth and operating margins
  • AA‑ pi credit rating enhancing financial credibility
  • dividend yield offset by overvaluation concerns

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • high return on equity and expanding healthcare demand
  • credit rating upgrade supporting long‑term financing
  • consistent earnings performance despite valuation premium

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth18.30%
Profit Margin17.52%
P/E Ratio36.4
ROE31.07%
ROA7.48%
Debt/Equity110.39
P/B Ratio11.1
Op. Cash FlowSAR3.4B
Free Cash FlowSAR-1072593664
Industry P/E25.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI54.9
SupportSAR 215.00
ResistanceSAR 263.00
MA 20SAR 243.59
MA 50SAR 252.40
MA 200SAR 256.54
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index76.55

Valuation

Fair ValueSAR 181.33
Target PriceSAR 287.28
Upside/Downside15.09%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield2.10%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.03
Volatility22.21%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.