4005:TSESumitomo Chemical Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
National Medical Care Company trades at SAR 130.2, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (134.24) but below the 50‑day (145.08) and 200‑day (158.67) averages, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a longer‑term downtrend. The RSI of 42.8 and a bearish trend direction reinforce the momentum weakness, while the MACD histogram (+0.81) and a bullish MACD signal hint at a possible near‑term reversal. The stock sits near the midpoint of its 52‑week range (support SAR 110.8, resistance SAR 162) and faces a high 30‑day volatility of 55.6%, though its beta is very low, suggesting limited correlation with broader market moves. Fundamentally, the company delivers solid earnings (PE 18.3 vs industry 25.2), 8.6% revenue growth, a 19.9% profit margin, and ROE of 18.6% with modest leverage (debt‑to‑equity 23.8%). However, the DCF‑derived fair value of SAR 47.2 is far below the current price, flagging a significant valuation gap despite a sustainable dividend yield of 1.54% and a 28% payout ratio.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Bearish technical alignment (price below SMA‑50/200, RSI neutral)
- Bullish MACD signal offering limited upside
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Strong earnings quality (PE below industry, healthy margins)
- Consistent revenue growth and solid ROE
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Growing Saudi healthcare demand and stable regulatory environment
- Low leverage and strong cash generation
- Long‑term dividend reliability and value‑oriented pricing relative to peers
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.