3711:TWSEASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
NT$335.50
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
ASE Technology Holding is trading at TWD 335.5, just below its 20‑day SMA of TWD 336.15 and comfortably above the 50‑day SMA, confirming a short‑term bullish bias. The stock sits near a strong support zone around TWD 279 and faces resistance near the 52‑week high of TWD 394, while the 30‑day volatility of roughly 71% and a beta under 1 suggest price swings are notable but the stock is less volatile than the market. Fundamentals show solid top‑line momentum with 9.6% YoY revenue growth and a 20% jump in ATM revenue, driving a forward EPS of TWD 20.05 and a forward PE of 16.7, well below the trailing PE of 37.7. However, free cash flow remains negative and debt‑to‑equity is high at 70.7%, raising questions about the sustainability of the 1.66% dividend (payout ~60%). The DCF model values the company at TWD 434, implying a modest upside of about 2.4% and an “Extreme Greed” sentiment on the fear‑greed index. Analyst consensus is strongly positive with 18 analysts rating the stock as a strong buy, but the balance sheet pressure and cash‑flow deficit temper enthusiasm. In summary, the technical picture is bullish, the valuation is marginally attractive, yet financial leverage and cash‑flow constraints introduce medium‑term risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price above 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs indicating bullish momentum
- Support level at TWD 279 provides downside cushion
- MACD histogram negative but RSI near neutral, suggesting limited near‑term downside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 9.6% and forward EPS acceleration
- DCF fair value above market price offering modest upside
- Strong analyst consensus (strong‑buy) despite elevated leverage
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term demand for semiconductor packaging and testing services
- Valuation near fair value limits upside potential
- High debt and negative free cash flow may constrain dividend sustainability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.60%
Profit Margin6.30%
P/E Ratio37.7
ROE11.64%
ROA3.89%
Debt/Equity70.73
P/B Ratio4.2
Op. Cash FlowNT$142.2B
Free Cash FlowNT$-79158607872
Industry P/E36.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI52.0
SupportNT$279.00
ResistanceNT$394.00
MA 20NT$336.15
MA 50NT$298.23
MA 200NT$204.16
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index76.73
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$434.18
Target PriceNT$343.64
Upside/Downside2.43%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.66%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.85
Volatility70.80%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.