3626:TSETIS Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time
¥3,366.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading at 3,366 JPY, well below its 20‑day (3,184) and 50‑day (4,094) simple moving averages, confirming a bearish price trend despite a bullish MACD histogram that suggests short‑term momentum may be turning positive. RSI sits at 44, indicating the price is not yet oversold, while the 30‑day volatility exceeds 68%, reflecting a highly volatile environment. The beta of roughly 0.42 points to limited systematic risk, yet the price remains confined between a support level of 2,892.5 JPY and resistance near 3,547 JPY, leaving limited upside in the immediate term.
Fundamentally, the company appears undervalued with a trailing P/E of 14.7 versus an industry average of 34.6, a price‑to‑book of 2.29, and a dividend yield of 2.27% supported by a modest 32% payout ratio. Analyst consensus targets (median 4,675 JPY) imply a potential upside of over 30%, and the increasing volume trend adds a layer of liquidity confidence. Nonetheless, zero revenue growth and a high historical drawdown of 45% temper enthusiasm, suggesting investors should weigh the value appeal against the pronounced price volatility.
Fundamentally, the company appears undervalued with a trailing P/E of 14.7 versus an industry average of 34.6, a price‑to‑book of 2.29, and a dividend yield of 2.27% supported by a modest 32% payout ratio. Analyst consensus targets (median 4,675 JPY) imply a potential upside of over 30%, and the increasing volume trend adds a layer of liquidity confidence. Nonetheless, zero revenue growth and a high historical drawdown of 45% temper enthusiasm, suggesting investors should weigh the value appeal against the pronounced price volatility.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term moving averages
- Bullish MACD signal amidst high volatility
- Proximity to near‑term resistance level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap to industry peers
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Analyst price targets indicating >30% upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Stable cash position and low leverage
- Consistent profitability margins
- Low beta and defensive sector positioning
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin9.09%
P/E Ratio14.7
ROE16.34%
ROA8.96%
Debt/Equity11.71
P/B Ratio2.3
Industry P/E34.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI44.1
Support¥2,892.50
Resistance¥3,547.00
MA 20¥3,184.40
MA 50¥4,093.68
MA 200¥4,713.73
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16
Valuation
Target Price¥4,514.00
Upside/Downside34.11%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.27%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.42
Volatility68.48%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.