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3606:HKEXFuyao Glass Industry Group Co., Ltd. Class H Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-29 - not real-time

HK$58.80

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Fuyao Glass (3606.HK) trades around HK$58.8, sitting just below the 20‑day SMA (53.3) and 50‑day SMA (53.7) but under the 200‑day SMA (62.6), indicating a bearish longer‑term bias. The RSI sits at 66, the MACD is bullish with a positive histogram, and the price is flirting with the nearest resistance at HK$59.2 while a solid support band rests near HK$49. Volatility is elevated at over 42% 30‑day and beta is effectively neutral, suggesting price swings are driven more by company‑specific factors than market moves.
Fundamentally the company delivers solid profitability – gross margin 37.6%, operating margin 21.9% and ROE 23.4% – and modest revenue growth of 5.1%. Cash generation is robust (operating cash flow > HK$10 bn) supporting a generous dividend yield of 4.28% with a 78% payout ratio. The DCF model implies a fair value near HK$5.9, while analyst consensus (strong‑buy) and median price targets around HK$78.7 point to roughly 30% upside, underscoring a significant valuation gap.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price approaching short‑term resistance at HK$59.2
  • RSI in overbought territory (66)
  • Technical trend still bearish despite bullish MACD

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst consensus strong‑buy with median target HK$78.7
  • Dividend yield of 4.28% and solid cash flow
  • Undervalued relative to DCF and upside potential ~30%

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained profitability and ROE above 20%
  • Stable dividend policy with attractive yield
  • Fundamental resilience in a cyclical auto‑parts sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.10%
Profit Margin19.43%
P/E Ratio14.7
ROE23.41%
ROA9.31%
Debt/Equity53.94
P/B Ratio3.4
Op. Cash FlowHK$10.4B
Free Cash FlowHK$918.3M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI66.4
SupportHK$49.00
ResistanceHK$59.20
MA 20HK$53.26
MA 50HK$53.73
MA 200HK$62.55
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.91

Valuation

Fair ValueHK$5.95
Target PriceHK$77.38
Upside/Downside31.60%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.28%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.06
Volatility42.49%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.