3606:HKEXFuyao Glass Industry Group Co., Ltd. Class H Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
HK$53.70
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Fuyao Glass is trading well below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, with a 14‑day RSI around 37 and a bearish MACD histogram, signaling short‑term momentum weakness. Despite this technical pressure, the stock offers a generous 4.39% dividend yield and a payout ratio under 80%, supported by solid operating cash flow and a modest free cash flow surplus.
Fundamentally, the company appears overvalued relative to its discounted cash‑flow estimate (fair value ~HKD 6.1 versus current price ~HKD 53.7), yet analysts project a median target near HKD 78, implying an upside of roughly 47% and reflecting confidence in earnings growth and the dividend profile.
Fundamentally, the company appears overvalued relative to its discounted cash‑flow estimate (fair value ~HKD 6.1 versus current price ~HKD 53.7), yet analysts project a median target near HKD 78, implying an upside of roughly 47% and reflecting confidence in earnings growth and the dividend profile.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages and bearish MACD
- RSI indicating potential oversold condition
- Stable volume providing liquidity
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Analyst median target price ~HKD 78 suggesting sizable upside
- Strong dividend yield and sustainable payout
- Improving earnings outlook with forward PE ~10
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Consistent cash‑generating business and dividend income
- Exposure to cyclical automotive sector and Chinese macro risk
- Valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.10%
Profit Margin19.43%
P/E Ratio13.5
ROE23.41%
ROA9.31%
Debt/Equity53.94
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash FlowHK$10.4B
Free Cash FlowHK$918.3M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI37.0
SupportHK$51.65
ResistanceHK$62.10
MA 20HK$55.91
MA 50HK$59.48
MA 200HK$65.71
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$6.11
Target PriceHK$78.92
Upside/Downside46.97%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.39%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.37
Volatility29.43%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.