We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

3533:TWSELotes Co., Ltd Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

NT$1,750.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Lotes Co., Ltd. is trading at TWD 1,750, comfortably above its 20‑day (1,644), 50‑day (1,489) and 200‑day (1,416) moving averages, indicating a strong bullish trend. The RSI of 59 suggests the stock is not yet overbought, while a bullish MACD histogram (+3.64) reinforces upward momentum. Valuation appears reasonable: the trailing PE of 23.9 is well below the industry average of 33.7 and the forward PE of 15.1 signals cheapness relative to expected earnings. The company offers a 2.38% dividend yield with a modest payout ratio of 57%, backed by ample cash (TWD 13.7 bn) and strong free cash flow. Fundamentals are solid, highlighted by a ROE of 23%, operating margin near 30%, and revenue growth of 4.4%, though leverage is high with a debt‑to‑equity of 6.5. Market sentiment is optimistic, reflected by a Fear/Greed Index of 72.9 (Greed), but volatility remains elevated at 77% and beta around 1.1, underscoring price swings and some systematic risk.
Geopolitical exposure to Taiwan and Mainland China introduces medium geographic risk, while the electronic components sector carries moderate cyclical risk. The stock sits near its technical support of TWD 1,430 and below a resistance ceiling of TWD 1,880, leaving room for upside toward analyst targets around TWD 1,921‑2,000. Despite the high leverage, the strong cash position and sustainable dividend make the equity attractive for investors seeking a blend of growth and income, provided they are comfortable with the inherent volatility and regional uncertainties.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical setup (price above all SMAs, bullish MACD)
  • Attractive forward PE relative to earnings expectations
  • Support level provides downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong ROE and cash generation supporting dividend sustainability
  • Analyst price targets imply ~10% upside
  • Undervalued relative to industry PE and solid earnings growth

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Stable margins and dividend yield provide income
  • High debt‑to‑equity introduces leverage risk over time
  • Geopolitical exposure to Taiwan/China may affect long‑term outlook

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.40%
Profit Margin25.14%
P/E Ratio23.9
ROE23.26%
ROA13.80%
Debt/Equity6.47
P/B Ratio5.7
Op. Cash FlowNT$9.4B
Free Cash FlowNT$2.3B
Industry P/E33.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI59.5
SupportNT$1,430.00
ResistanceNT$1,880.00
MA 20NT$1,644.00
MA 50NT$1,488.60
MA 200NT$1,415.73
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$443.25
Target PriceNT$1,921.50
Upside/Downside9.80%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.38%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.09
Volatility77.28%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.