3406:TWSEGeniuS Electronic Optical Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
NT$446.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Genius Electronic Optical is trading around 446 TWD, well below its DCF-derived fair value of over 1,500 TWD, suggesting a deep valuation gap. The stock benefits from a low beta of 0.58 and a volatility of roughly 36% over 30 days, indicating modest market sensitivity while still offering upside potential. Fundamentally, the company boasts robust cash reserves exceeding 12.8 billion TWD and a manageable debt load, resulting in a healthy balance sheet and a comfortable payout ratio of 55% that supports its 4.1% dividend yield. Revenue is expanding at an impressive 30% year‑over‑year pace, with solid gross and operating margins that underpin earnings growth.
Technically, the MACD histogram has turned positive and the signal line is bullish, while the RSI sits in a neutral 56 zone, indicating no immediate overbought pressure. Volume trends are increasing, and the price sits comfortably above the identified support of 386 TWD but below resistance near 462 TWD, leaving room for a short‑term bounce. The combination of undervaluation, strong cash flow, and a sustainable dividend makes the stock attractive across multiple horizons.
Technically, the MACD histogram has turned positive and the signal line is bullish, while the RSI sits in a neutral 56 zone, indicating no immediate overbought pressure. Volume trends are increasing, and the price sits comfortably above the identified support of 386 TWD but below resistance near 462 TWD, leaving room for a short‑term bounce. The combination of undervaluation, strong cash flow, and a sustainable dividend makes the stock attractive across multiple horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram indicating near‑term momentum
- Strong cash position and low leverage
- Attractive dividend yield supporting total return
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant undervaluation relative to DCF fair value
- Rapid revenue growth and expanding margins
- Sustainable dividend providing income while price appreciates
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Strategic positioning in high‑growth optical markets (AR/VR, AI, automotive)
- Consistently strong free cash flow enabling reinvestment
- Robust balance sheet and low beta supporting stability over time
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth30.70%
Profit Margin14.82%
P/E Ratio13.6
ROE14.47%
ROA6.88%
Debt/Equity21.32
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash FlowNT$7.3B
Free Cash FlowNT$4.4B
Industry P/E34.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI56.3
SupportNT$386.00
ResistanceNT$462.00
MA 20NT$428.03
MA 50NT$442.12
MA 200NT$429.40
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index81.91
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$1,525.10
Target PriceNT$471.43
Upside/Downside5.70%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.10%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.58
Volatility35.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.