3311:HKEXChina State Construction International Holdings Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-28 - not real-time
NT$33.60
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical indicators show the stock trading below its short‑term moving averages, with the RSI hovering in neutral territory and a bearish MACD divergence, while volume has been trending down and 30‑day volatility remains elevated. These signals suggest limited upside momentum in the near term.
Fundamentally, the company is experiencing a contraction in revenue and operates with thin margins; EBITDA is modest, free cash flow is negative, and debt levels are high relative to equity, resulting in a low ROE. However, the dividend yield is respectable and the payout ratio is comfortably low, indicating that the dividend remains sustainable despite cash flow pressures. Valuation multiples are below industry averages, yet the discounted cash flow model flags a sizable gap between intrinsic value and market price.
Given the mixed technical and fundamental picture, the stock offers limited short‑term upside, faces medium‑term earnings challenges, but retains some long‑term appeal through its dividend and relative valuation discount.
Fundamentally, the company is experiencing a contraction in revenue and operates with thin margins; EBITDA is modest, free cash flow is negative, and debt levels are high relative to equity, resulting in a low ROE. However, the dividend yield is respectable and the payout ratio is comfortably low, indicating that the dividend remains sustainable despite cash flow pressures. Valuation multiples are below industry averages, yet the discounted cash flow model flags a sizable gap between intrinsic value and market price.
Given the mixed technical and fundamental picture, the stock offers limited short‑term upside, faces medium‑term earnings challenges, but retains some long‑term appeal through its dividend and relative valuation discount.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price below short‑term averages
- bearish MACD
- sustainable dividend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- declining revenue and margins
- high leverage
- negative free cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- valuation discount to peers
- steady dividend yield
- potential for operational turnaround
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-13.20%
Profit Margin6.48%
P/E Ratio20.1
ROE4.49%
ROA0.28%
Debt/Equity18.82
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash FlowNT$105.6M
Free Cash FlowNT$-47372000
Industry P/E32.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI37.9
SupportNT$32.75
ResistanceNT$39.60
MA 20NT$35.82
MA 50NT$36.64
MA 200NT$33.58
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.91
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$10.58
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.74%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.54
Volatility36.86%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.