3293:TPEXInternational Games System Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
NT$722.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock trades at 722 TWD, below its 20‑day SMA (695) and 50‑day SMA (714) but still under the 200‑day SMA (773), indicating a bearish medium‑term trend. However, the MACD histogram is positive (5.34) and the signal line is negative, giving a bullish MACD signal, while RSI sits at 55, suggesting no overbought pressure. Volume is increasing and the price is near the technical support at 670 TWD, with resistance at 736 TWD, providing a near‑term upside cushion. The Fear & Greed Index reads 72.9 (“Greed”), implying market optimism. The DCF‑derived fair value of about 820 TWD translates to a 35% upside potential.
Fundamentals are strong: gross margin 97.6%, operating margin 59.3%, ROE 61%, and a cash pile of 17.2 bn TWD versus negligible debt, supporting a high dividend yield of 4.0% with a payout ratio of 79%. The PE of 19.8 is modestly above the industry average of 17.8, but the forward PE of 13.8 and a forward EPS growth outlook suggest value‑oriented upside. At a 4.0% yield, the stock ranks among the higher‑yielding peers in the sector. Given the high cash generation, low leverage, and attractive dividend, the dividend appears sustainable. Overall, the combination of technical bounce potential, solid cash flow, and undervalued status points to a buying opportunity.
Fundamentals are strong: gross margin 97.6%, operating margin 59.3%, ROE 61%, and a cash pile of 17.2 bn TWD versus negligible debt, supporting a high dividend yield of 4.0% with a payout ratio of 79%. The PE of 19.8 is modestly above the industry average of 17.8, but the forward PE of 13.8 and a forward EPS growth outlook suggest value‑oriented upside. At a 4.0% yield, the stock ranks among the higher‑yielding peers in the sector. Given the high cash generation, low leverage, and attractive dividend, the dividend appears sustainable. Overall, the combination of technical bounce potential, solid cash flow, and undervalued status points to a buying opportunity.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with bullish MACD signal
- Increasing volume indicating potential short‑term bounce
- High volatility (30% 30‑day) adds downside risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value suggests ~35% upside
- Strong cash generation and low debt
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- High ROE and operating margins indicate durable competitive advantage
- Growth prospects in arcade, online and mobile gaming markets
- Undervalued relative to forward earnings and sector peers
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth12.50%
Profit Margin49.25%
P/E Ratio19.8
ROE61.23%
ROA34.32%
Debt/Equity0.03
P/B Ratio10.7
Op. Cash FlowNT$11.7B
Free Cash FlowNT$9.3B
Industry P/E17.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI55.8
SupportNT$670.00
ResistanceNT$736.00
MA 20NT$695.05
MA 50NT$714.58
MA 200NT$773.20
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$820.19
Target PriceNT$981.25
Upside/Downside35.91%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.02%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.61
Volatility30.67%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.