3048:TSEBIC Cameras Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
¥1,717.50
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading at 1,717.5 JPY, which sits just below its 20‑day (1,759) and 50‑day (1,744.6) moving averages, indicating short‑term weakness despite a longer‑term bullish trend above the 200‑day average (1,638). The RSI of 43 and a bearish MACD histogram reinforce the near‑term downside pressure, while the price remains comfortably above the identified support at 1,692 JPY.
Fundamentally, Bic Camera delivers a solid 6.5 % revenue growth and a dividend yield of 2.39 % with a payout ratio around 40 %, suggesting dividend sustainability. However, thin operating margins (~3 %) and a modest ROE of 11 % temper enthusiasm, and the company carries a net debt position that offsets its cash balance. The forward P/E of about 22 versus the current 16.8 hints that the market may be pricing in slower earnings acceleration.
The stock’s low beta (~0.29) and a 30‑day volatility near 20 % point to limited systematic risk but noticeable price swings, while decreasing trading volume raises a modest liquidity concern. With a target median price of 1,780 JPY and a “hold” consensus from analysts, the upside potential appears limited in the short run but more attractive over medium to long horizons.
Fundamentally, Bic Camera delivers a solid 6.5 % revenue growth and a dividend yield of 2.39 % with a payout ratio around 40 %, suggesting dividend sustainability. However, thin operating margins (~3 %) and a modest ROE of 11 % temper enthusiasm, and the company carries a net debt position that offsets its cash balance. The forward P/E of about 22 versus the current 16.8 hints that the market may be pricing in slower earnings acceleration.
The stock’s low beta (~0.29) and a 30‑day volatility near 20 % point to limited systematic risk but noticeable price swings, while decreasing trading volume raises a modest liquidity concern. With a target median price of 1,780 JPY and a “hold” consensus from analysts, the upside potential appears limited in the short run but more attractive over medium to long horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term SMAs indicating near‑term weakness
- Bearish MACD and RSI suggesting limited upside
- Proximity to support level at 1,692 JPY
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 6.5 % and stable dividend yield
- Target median price of 1,780 JPY implying upside
- Low beta reducing systematic risk
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend with 40 % payout ratio
- Stable cash generation and modest debt levels
- Long‑term bullish trend above 200‑day SMA
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.50%
Profit Margin1.93%
P/E Ratio16.8
ROE11.02%
ROA4.05%
Debt/Equity47.29
P/B Ratio1.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI43.0
Support¥1,692.00
Resistance¥1,808.00
MA 20¥1,759.00
MA 50¥1,744.58
MA 200¥1,638.09
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Target Price¥1,726.67
Upside/Downside0.53%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.39%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.29
Volatility19.79%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.