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302440:KRXSK bioscience Co.,Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

₩43,450.00

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

SK bioscience is trading at KRW 43,450, well above its 30‑day DCF fair value of ~KRW 29,485 and the computed SMA‑20 (46,680), SMA‑50 (48,220) and SMA‑200 (48,738), indicating an overextended price. The MACD is bearish (line below signal) and the RSI sits at 38.9, suggesting waning momentum, while the price is approaching the identified support at KRW 40,600 and still below the resistance of KRW 51,200. Volatility is elevated at roughly 50% over the past month and beta is modest at 0.59, but the stock has experienced a sharp drawdown of over 31% from recent highs. Fundamentals are weak: operating margin is –12.8%, free cash flow is negative (~KRW –254 bn), debt‑to‑equity is extremely high at 19.8, and earnings per share are essentially zero, leading to a forward PE of –61.9. Despite a robust revenue growth rate of 144% YoY, the company’s cash‑rich balance sheet (KRW 1,006 bn cash) is offset by sizable debt (KRW 411 bn) and ongoing R&D risk. The fear‑and‑greed index reads “Extreme Greed,” yet the underlying financial health and regulatory uncertainties in the biotech sector temper optimism. In short, the market price reflects speculative enthusiasm rather than intrinsic value, and the technical setup points to further downside pressure in the near term.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and RSI below 40 indicating weakening momentum
  • Price below all three SMAs and nearing support at KRW 40,600
  • High 30‑day volatility (~50%) amplifying downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Substantial pipeline potential but high clinical‑trial uncertainty
  • Overvalued relative to DCF fair value and negative earnings
  • Strong cash position offset by very high debt‑to‑equity ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term revenue growth exceeding 140% YoY
  • Strategic position in vaccines and biopharma with expanding global demand
  • Potential upside if pipeline candidates achieve regulatory approval

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth144.60%
Profit Margin-0.95%
P/E Ratio-62.0
ROE-0.13%
ROA-3.08%
Debt/Equity19.82
Op. Cash Flow₩65.9B
Free Cash Flow₩-254471061504
Industry P/E26.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.9
Support₩40,600.00
Resistance₩51,200.00
MA 20₩46,680.00
MA 50₩48,220.00
MA 200₩48,737.50
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

Fair Value₩29,484.76
Target Price₩40,400.00
Upside/Downside-7.02%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.59
Volatility50.11%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.