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300496:SZSEThunder Software Technology Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-14 - not real-time

CN¥59.81

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Thunder Software Technology Co.,Ltd. trades at ¥59.81, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Over a rolling month the price has lost 4.6%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 48.3 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near ¥55.90 and resistance around ¥64.75.
The shares look fair, trading on 60.4 times earnings above a sector average of 36.6. Analyst price targets sit 26.6% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 19.0% on a 5.7% profit margin. The 0.31% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 49.4%, a beta of 0.59 and a maximum drawdown of 36.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 3/10 conviction over the longer horizon.

Top Market Events

Yahoo Finance7monThunderSoft Showcases AIOS Platforms for Vehicles, AIoT, and Robotics at CES 2026LAS VEGAS, Jan.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 65.69
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 60.4 versus sector average of 36.6
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 65.69

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 60.4 versus sector average of 36.6
  • Analyst targets imply +26.6% versus the current price
  • Revenue growth of +19.0%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth19.00%
Profit Margin5.71%
P/E Ratio60.4
ROE4.79%
ROA1.89%
Debt/Equity1.24
P/B Ratio2.6
Op. Cash FlowCN¥869.1M
Free Cash FlowCN¥-1063727232
Industry P/E36.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI48.3
SupportCN¥55.90
ResistanceCN¥64.75
MA 20CN¥60.11
MA 50CN¥60.40
MA 200CN¥65.69
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.48

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥41.83
Target PriceCN¥75.73
Upside/Downside26.62%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.31%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.59
Volatility49.42%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.