3003:TSEHulic Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
CN¥42.95
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Valuation appears stretched as the price‑earnings multiple is markedly above the sector average, while the discounted cash flow estimate suggests a price far below current levels. The company’s dividend payout is modest, supporting sustainability despite limited earnings growth. Technical signals are mixed: the relative strength index sits in the oversold region, the 20‑day moving average is below the 50‑day average, and the MACD histogram remains negative, pointing to lingering bearish momentum. Support is anchored near recent lows, yet the stock is trading close to that floor, limiting upside in the immediate term.
Fundamentally, revenue growth is essentially flat and profit margins are thin, with free cash flow turning negative. The balance sheet shows a low leverage profile but a high price‑to‑book multiple, and the beta is unusually low, suggesting limited market‑wide volatility. Overall, the blend of high valuation, modest growth, and weak technical momentum advises caution.
Fundamentally, revenue growth is essentially flat and profit margins are thin, with free cash flow turning negative. The balance sheet shows a low leverage profile but a high price‑to‑book multiple, and the beta is unusually low, suggesting limited market‑wide volatility. Overall, the blend of high valuation, modest growth, and weak technical momentum advises caution.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price near technical support
- oversold RSI but bearish MACD
- high valuation relative to earnings
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- flat revenue growth and thin margins
- modest dividend payout sustainability
- valuation gap between market price and DCF estimate
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- persistent overvaluation without clear growth catalyst
- negative free cash flow trend
- low beta but high price volatility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth0.10%
Profit Margin6.61%
P/E Ratio74.1
ROE7.21%
ROA4.27%
Debt/Equity10.14
P/B Ratio5.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥284.5M
Free Cash FlowCN¥-44897420
Industry P/E33.7
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI35.1
SupportCN¥42.42
ResistanceCN¥50.39
MA 20CN¥46.44
MA 50CN¥50.75
MA 200CN¥47.02
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥11.89
Target PriceCN¥63.54
Upside/Downside47.95%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.07%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.21
Volatility45.63%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.