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300347:SZSEHangzhou Tigermed Consulting Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

CN¥52.95

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hangzhou Tigermed Consulting is trading at a **trailing P/E of 73.5**, far above the **industry average of 26.2**, and its current price of CNY 52.95 is more than three times the **DCF‑derived fair value of 17.2**, suggesting significant overvaluation. The stock’s **RSI of 32** points to near‑oversold conditions, while the price sits just above the **support level of 52.88**, indicating a potential short‑term bounce. Technical momentum is mixed: the **20‑day SMA (58.68) lies above price**, and the **MACD histogram is negative**, signalling bearish pressure despite the low **beta of 0.14** and a **stable volume trend**. Fundamentals show modest **revenue growth of 3.9%**, solid **gross margin of 26.5%**, but a **high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 7.07**, raising concerns about leverage. The company pays a **0.57% dividend** with a **payout ratio of 41.7%**, which appears sustainable given strong operating cash flow, yet the modest **ROE of 2.6%** limits growth appeal. Recent exposure at the 44th J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference underscores market interest in its CRO platform, but the combination of lofty valuation multiples, high leverage, and elevated short‑term volatility (≈ 43% over 30 days) suggests caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • RSI near oversold levels
  • Price hovering just above support
  • Bearish MACD histogram

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Significant overvaluation relative to DCF and peers
  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio
  • Stable cash flow supporting dividend

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Growth potential in China’s CRO market
  • Sustained dividend with moderate payout
  • Elevated valuation requiring price correction

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.90%
Profit Margin9.33%
P/E Ratio73.5
ROE2.59%
ROA1.06%
Debt/Equity7.07
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash FlowCN¥1.3B
Free Cash FlowCN¥916.9M
Industry P/E26.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI32.1
SupportCN¥52.88
ResistanceCN¥67.85
MA 20CN¥58.68
MA 50CN¥59.74
MA 200CN¥57.47
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index81.48

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥17.18
Target PriceCN¥67.77
Upside/Downside27.99%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.57%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.14
Volatility42.77%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.