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2810:TSEHouse Foods Group Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

¥3,022.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

House Foods Group Inc. trades around ¥3,022, just below its 20‑day SMA (¥3,034) but above the 50‑day SMA, indicating a fragile bullish bias. The RSI sits at 49.5, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD is bearish with a negative histogram, warning of possible short‑term downside. Volume is increasing, supporting the bullish trend direction, yet the price is near the identified support at ¥2,962 and faces resistance around ¥3,098. Valuation metrics look attractive: the P/E is about 22.5x (forward P/E ~19.2x), the P/B is under 1.0 (0.94), and the price‑to‑sales is 0.86, hinting at an undervalued stance relative to peers. The dividend yield of 1.6% with a payout ratio of 35.8% appears sustainable given the company's strong cash position (¥83,000 m) despite a high debt‑to‑equity of 5.7. No material news items were identified that could materially shift the outlook, leaving the analysis rooted in the current fundamentals and technical setup.
Overall, the stock presents a moderate risk profile with low beta (‑0.05) and 30‑day volatility of ~12.8%, typical for a consumer‑defensive Japanese firm. The balance sheet shows ample liquidity and net cash, reducing financial stress, while modest revenue growth (4.7%) and thin profit margins temper expectations for rapid earnings acceleration. The combination of defensive sector positioning, attractive valuation, and a reliable dividend makes House Foods a candidate for value‑oriented investors with a medium‑to‑long‑term horizon.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram suggesting near‑term pressure
  • Price testing support at ¥2,962 with resistance near ¥3,098
  • Increasing volume supporting the underlying bullish trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued valuation multiples (P/B < 1, P/S < 1)
  • Strong cash balance offsetting high debt levels
  • Stable dividend yield of 1.6% appealing to income investors

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta and defensive consumer sector reduces market volatility
  • Sustainable dividend with a healthy payout ratio
  • Net cash position and attractive valuation support long‑run upside

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.70%
Profit Margin3.79%
P/E Ratio22.5
ROE4.19%
ROA2.40%
Debt/Equity5.71
P/B Ratio0.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI49.5
Support¥2,962.50
Resistance¥3,098.00
MA 20¥3,034.45
MA 50¥3,013.59
MA 200¥2,901.85
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index80.89

Valuation

Target Price¥3,000.00
Upside/Downside-0.73%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.60%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.05
Volatility12.76%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.