272210:KRXHanwha Systems Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time
₩149,900.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical momentum is strong: the 20‑day SMA (124,290) sits above the 50‑day (99,376) and 200‑day (65,003) averages, the MACD histogram is positive (2,284) and the signal line is bullish, while RSI‑14 is at 62.7, indicating continued upward bias. Volume is increasing and the price is comfortably above the identified support (99,700) yet still below the 52‑week resistance (184,000), suggesting room for further gains. The market sentiment index reads 78.16, labeled “Extreme Greed,” which aligns with the bullish technical setup.
However, valuation metrics signal severe overpricing: forward P/E is 80.3 versus an industry average of 29.9, and price‑to‑sales stands at 8.75, both far above peers. The company’s fundamentals are strained – operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative, debt‑to‑equity is an alarming 22.1, and the dividend yield is a modest 0.34% with questionable sustainability. Volatility is extreme at 158% over 30 days and the max drawdown of –33.9% underscores downside risk, while analyst target prices (median 65,000) are less than half the current market price of 149,900.
However, valuation metrics signal severe overpricing: forward P/E is 80.3 versus an industry average of 29.9, and price‑to‑sales stands at 8.75, both far above peers. The company’s fundamentals are strained – operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative, debt‑to‑equity is an alarming 22.1, and the dividend yield is a modest 0.34% with questionable sustainability. Volatility is extreme at 158% over 30 days and the max drawdown of –33.9% underscores downside risk, while analyst target prices (median 65,000) are less than half the current market price of 149,900.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- forward P/E far exceeds industry average
- high 30‑day volatility and recent max drawdown
- negative free cash flow limiting near‑term upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- bullish MACD and rising volume support price stability
- solid 26% year‑over‑year revenue growth
- defense sector demand providing a structural tailwind
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- persistent high debt constraining financial flexibility
- low dividend yield and uncertain payout sustainability
- long‑term strategic positioning in aerospace & defense
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth26.40%
Profit Margin18.60%
P/E Ratio80.3
ROE17.15%
ROA1.31%
Debt/Equity22.11
Op. Cash Flow₩-32800561152
Free Cash Flow₩-31721502720
Industry P/E30.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI62.7
Support₩99,700.00
Resistance₩184,000.00
MA 20₩124,290.00
MA 50₩99,376.00
MA 200₩65,003.00
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16
Valuation
Target Price₩65,708.34
Upside/Downside-56.17%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.34%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.57
Volatility158.10%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.