2702:TSEMcDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time
¥7,980.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Price action: The share trades at ¥7,980, just below the 20‑day (¥8,089.5) and 50‑day (¥8,091.8) SMAs but well above the 200‑day SMA (¥6,878), indicating short‑term softness yet long‑term stability. Momentum: RSI sits at 48, signaling neutral pressure, while the MACD remains bearish with a negative histogram, suggesting limited immediate upside. Market sentiment: Volume is increasing and the Fear‑Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed” (89.9), pointing to strong investor appetite.
Fundamentals: Revenue growth is modest at 2.7% with healthy operating margins (16%) and ROE (13.9%). Valuation is on the higher side – forward PE of 33.4 and P/B of 3.74 – and analysts project only a 5.9% upside to a median target of ¥8,450. The dividend yield of 0.79% and a 22% payout ratio imply the dividend is sustainable, supporting a modest income component.
Fundamentals: Revenue growth is modest at 2.7% with healthy operating margins (16%) and ROE (13.9%). Valuation is on the higher side – forward PE of 33.4 and P/B of 3.74 – and analysts project only a 5.9% upside to a median target of ¥8,450. The dividend yield of 0.79% and a 22% payout ratio imply the dividend is sustainable, supporting a modest income component.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near support (¥7,650) with limited downside
- Rising volume indicating buying interest
- Strong market sentiment (Extreme Greed index)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Analyst consensus ‘buy’ and target price of ¥8,450
- Stable cash generation and low debt
- Sustainable dividend supporting total return
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High valuation multiples relative to modest growth
- Brand strength and consistent profitability
- Low geographic and currency risk in Japan
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.70%
Profit Margin8.89%
P/E Ratio31.3
ROE13.86%
ROA10.75%
Debt/Equity0.04
P/B Ratio3.7
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI47.8
Support¥7,650.00
Resistance¥8,780.00
MA 20¥8,089.50
MA 50¥8,091.80
MA 200¥6,878.00
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.93
Valuation
Target Price¥8,450.00
Upside/Downside5.89%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.79%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.37
Volatility41.68%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.