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267250:KRXHD HYUNDAI CO.,LTD. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

₩278,000.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

HD Hyundai is trading above its 20‑day (272,450) and 50‑day (242,216) SMAs, confirming a medium‑term bullish trend, while the RSI sits at a neutral 56. Technical momentum shows a short‑term bearish tilt as the MACD histogram is negative and the MACD signal is bearish. Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued with a forward P/E of 13.4 versus an industry average of 20.3 and a price‑to‑sales ratio of only 0.28, while the dividend yield of 1.93% is backed by a 35% payout ratio and strong free cash flow. Revenue is expanding at roughly 10% YoY, and the company generates ample cash (≈12 trillion KRW) despite a debt‑to‑equity of 58.7%, indicating a solid balance sheet. Volatility is high at nearly 58% over the past 30 days, but beta is modest (≈0.63), suggesting market‑related risk is contained. The DCF model implies a fair value far above the current price, reinforcing the undervaluation thesis. Overall, the blend of a resilient cash position, attractive dividend, and relative valuation discount supports a positive outlook, though short‑term price pressure from bearish MACD and elevated volatility warrants caution.
Given the stable trading volume, support around 224,500 and resistance near 317,000, the stock has room to rally. Investors with a medium to long horizon may benefit from the upside potential, while short‑term traders should monitor technical signals for any shift in momentum.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating near‑term downside pressure
  • Neutral RSI suggesting limited upside momentum
  • High 30‑day volatility increasing price swings

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervaluation relative to industry peers (low P/E and P/S)
  • Strong free cash flow and sustainable dividend yield
  • Revenue growth of ~10% supporting earnings expansion

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified business segments including renewable energy and shipbuilding
  • Robust cash reserves offsetting moderate debt levels
  • Consistent dividend payments enhancing total return

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.80%
Profit Margin1.03%
P/E Ratio13.4
ROE11.13%
ROA4.31%
Debt/Equity58.75
Op. Cash Flow₩10050.0B
Free Cash Flow₩6565.7B
Industry P/E20.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI56.5
Support₩224,500.00
Resistance₩317,000.00
MA 20₩272,450.00
MA 50₩242,216.00
MA 200₩176,281.00
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.75

Valuation

Fair Value₩1,888,760.37
Target Price₩275,200.00
Upside/Downside-1.01%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.93%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.63
Volatility57.83%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.