2607:TSEFUJI OIL CO. LTD. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
HK$11.50
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Shanghai Pharmaceuticals trades at a markedly low PE relative to its industry peers and its price‑to‑book is well below one, indicating a strong undervaluation signal. Technical indicators show a bearish short‑term trend with price below the 20‑, 50‑ and 200‑day moving averages and a negative MACD histogram, yet the stock remains above its recent support level, limiting immediate downside. The company offers a high dividend yield of nearly four percent with a modest payout ratio, suggesting dividend sustainability despite a negative free cash flow figure. Fundamental metrics reveal modest revenue growth, thin margins and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio, which temper the upside but are offset by a solid operating cash flow and a DCF‑derived fair value well above the current market price.
Given the attractive valuation, dividend appeal and the potential for price appreciation toward the fair‑value target, the stock presents a compelling value play, though investors should monitor regulatory developments in China’s healthcare sector and the company’s debt profile.
Given the attractive valuation, dividend appeal and the potential for price appreciation toward the fair‑value target, the stock presents a compelling value play, though investors should monitor regulatory developments in China’s healthcare sector and the company’s debt profile.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued price relative to peers
- Attractive dividend yield
- Technical support level limiting downside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value suggests ~15% upside
- Improving operating cash flow
- Stable dividend policy
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustained valuation discount
- Long‑term demographic tailwinds for healthcare in China
- Potential regulatory clarity boosting margins
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.60%
Profit Margin2.01%
P/E Ratio6.6
ROE7.91%
ROA2.15%
Debt/Equity65.73
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash FlowHK$5.4B
Free Cash FlowHK$-873059392
Industry P/E26.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI45.6
SupportHK$11.18
ResistanceHK$12.03
MA 20HK$11.59
MA 50HK$11.74
MA 200HK$12.02
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$12.97
Target PriceHK$13.39
Upside/Downside16.42%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.91%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.10
Volatility16.78%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.