We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

2607:TSEFUJI OIL CO. LTD. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

HK$11.50

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals trades at a markedly low PE relative to its industry peers and its price‑to‑book is well below one, indicating a strong undervaluation signal. Technical indicators show a bearish short‑term trend with price below the 20‑, 50‑ and 200‑day moving averages and a negative MACD histogram, yet the stock remains above its recent support level, limiting immediate downside. The company offers a high dividend yield of nearly four percent with a modest payout ratio, suggesting dividend sustainability despite a negative free cash flow figure. Fundamental metrics reveal modest revenue growth, thin margins and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio, which temper the upside but are offset by a solid operating cash flow and a DCF‑derived fair value well above the current market price.
Given the attractive valuation, dividend appeal and the potential for price appreciation toward the fair‑value target, the stock presents a compelling value play, though investors should monitor regulatory developments in China’s healthcare sector and the company’s debt profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued price relative to peers
  • Attractive dividend yield
  • Technical support level limiting downside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value suggests ~15% upside
  • Improving operating cash flow
  • Stable dividend policy

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained valuation discount
  • Long‑term demographic tailwinds for healthcare in China
  • Potential regulatory clarity boosting margins

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.60%
Profit Margin2.01%
P/E Ratio6.6
ROE7.91%
ROA2.15%
Debt/Equity65.73
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash FlowHK$5.4B
Free Cash FlowHK$-873059392
Industry P/E26.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI45.6
SupportHK$11.18
ResistanceHK$12.03
MA 20HK$11.59
MA 50HK$11.74
MA 200HK$12.02
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

Fair ValueHK$12.97
Target PriceHK$13.39
Upside/Downside16.42%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.91%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.10
Volatility16.78%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.