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2607:HKEXShanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding Co. Ltd. Class H Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

HK$11.40

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals trades well below its intrinsic estimate, offering a clear margin of safety and an attractive dividend yield that exceeds the market norm. The stock is priced beneath both its short‑term and long‑term moving averages, and momentum indicators are currently bearish, suggesting near‑term pressure around a key support level.
On the fundamentals side, the company enjoys a very low price‑to‑earnings multiple relative to industry peers, a price‑to‑book well under one, and a modest payout ratio that supports dividend sustainability despite a recent dip in free cash flow. Combined with a low beta and moderate volatility, the equity presents a defensive profile with upside potential if technical pressure eases.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish momentum and price below short‑term averages
  • Proximity to a technical support zone
  • High dividend yield providing interim income

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap relative to peers
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
  • Strong cash position offsetting moderate debt

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term upside embedded in discounted cash‑flow estimate
  • Defensive healthcare distribution business
  • Low volatility and beta reinforcing a stable return profile

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.60%
Profit Margin2.01%
P/E Ratio6.6
ROE7.91%
ROA2.15%
Debt/Equity65.73
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash FlowHK$5.4B
Free Cash FlowHK$-873059392
Industry P/E26.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI40.7
SupportHK$11.18
ResistanceHK$12.03
MA 20HK$11.61
MA 50HK$11.74
MA 200HK$12.02
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueHK$12.99
Target PriceHK$13.39
Upside/Downside17.44%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.94%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.10
Volatility16.56%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.