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2587:TSESuntory Beverage & Food Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time

¥4,169.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Suntory Beverage & Food is trading well below its short‑term moving averages, with the price under the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. However, the RSI has slipped into oversold territory and the MACD histogram remains negative, suggesting a potential short‑term rebound as buying pressure builds, reflected by the rising volume trend. On the valuation side, the discounted cash‑flow model points to a sizable upside, while the PE multiple is modest and the price‑to‑book ratio sits below parity, indicating the stock may be undervalued relative to its fundamentals. The company delivers a dividend yield near three percent with a payout ratio comfortably below half, supported by strong operating and free cash flow, making the dividend appear sustainable.
Fundamentally, revenue is growing at double‑digit rates and margins are stable, but the balance sheet shows a high debt‑to‑equity ratio, albeit offset by a net cash position. The consumer‑defensive sector provides resilience, and the firm’s global footprint diversifies geographic exposure, though regulatory oversight on alcoholic products adds a moderate layer of risk. Overall, the stock presents a blend of value and growth attributes with upside potential, tempered by technical weakness and leverage concerns.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Oversold RSI suggests a near‑term bounce
  • Price below key moving averages indicates bearish bias
  • Increasing volume may signal accumulating interest

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF model shows ~18% upside potential
  • Solid cash flow supports dividend sustainability
  • Elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio poses leverage risk

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Stable revenue growth and diversified product portfolio
  • Undervalued relative to fair value and modest valuation multiples
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth11.20%
Profit Margin5.02%
P/E Ratio14.5
ROE8.10%
ROA4.79%
Debt/Equity5.26
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow¥168.4B
Free Cash Flow¥62.3B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI33.2
Support¥4,104.00
Resistance¥4,642.00
MA 20¥4,369.65
MA 50¥4,494.48
MA 200¥4,707.57
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value¥4,398.34
Target Price¥4,925.45
Upside/Downside18.14%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.88%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.04
Volatility23.08%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.