2587:TSESuntory Beverage & Food Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-28 - not real-time
¥4,800.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Suntory Beverage & Food is trading at ¥4,800, comfortably above the 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs, signaling short‑term bullish momentum. The RSI of 68 hints at overbought conditions, while a bullish MACD crossover and a positive histogram add a technical upside bias. The stock sits near the ¥4,825 resistance level with a solid support zone around ¥4,406, and volatility over the past 30 days is moderate at roughly 17 %.
Fundamentally, the company delivered 11 % revenue growth, maintains a healthy gross margin of 37 % and a modest profit margin above 5 %. Cash balances far exceed debt, providing a net‑cash position, and a dividend yield of 2.5 % with a payout ratio under 45 % appears sustainable. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of about ¥4,325 is below the current market price, implying a slight overvaluation and a modest downside potential of around 1 %.
Fundamentally, the company delivered 11 % revenue growth, maintains a healthy gross margin of 37 % and a modest profit margin above 5 %. Cash balances far exceed debt, providing a net‑cash position, and a dividend yield of 2.5 % with a payout ratio under 45 % appears sustainable. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of about ¥4,325 is below the current market price, implying a slight overvaluation and a modest downside potential of around 1 %.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance with high RSI
- Bullish MACD but limited upside
- Stable volume and low beta
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong 11% revenue growth trajectory
- Attractive dividend yield and sustainable payout
- Forward PE compression suggesting valuation improvement
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Diversified brand portfolio across beverages and food
- Robust cash generation and net‑cash balance
- Dividend consistency supporting total return
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth11.20%
Profit Margin5.02%
P/E Ratio16.7
ROE8.10%
ROA4.79%
Debt/Equity5.26
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow¥168.4B
Free Cash Flow¥62.3B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI67.9
Support¥4,406.00
Resistance¥4,825.00
MA 20¥4,619.85
MA 50¥4,429.52
MA 200¥4,661.66
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index87.38
Valuation
Fair Value¥4,325.41
Target Price¥4,739.09
Upside/Downside-1.27%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.54%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.03
Volatility17.64%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.