2492:TWSEWalsin Technology Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
NT$129.50
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Walsin Technology trades at TWD 129.5, comfortably above its short‑term support of 119 and below the DCF‑derived fair value of TWD 170.7, suggesting upside potential. The stock sits on a bullish price trend with the 20‑day SMA (133.0) and 50‑day SMA (132.3) both above current levels, yet the MACD has turned bearish and the RSI sits at a neutral 47, indicating mixed short‑term momentum. Volatility is elevated at roughly 79% over the past 30 days, but beta is modest (≈0.8), tempering market‑wide risk. Valuation metrics are attractive: the trailing PE of 27.4 is below the industry average of 33.7 and the forward PE collapses to 7.5, driven by a sharp EPS lift from 4.73 to 17.38. The company generates solid operating and free cash flow, holds ample cash (TWD 12.6 bn) despite a high debt load, and pays a 1.86% dividend with a sustainable payout ratio around 51%.
Overall, the blend of undervalued pricing, strong cash generation, and a respectable dividend makes Walsin a compelling candidate for investors with a medium‑to‑long‑term horizon, while short‑term caution is warranted due to bearish technical signals and decreasing volume.
Overall, the blend of undervalued pricing, strong cash generation, and a respectable dividend makes Walsin a compelling candidate for investors with a medium‑to‑long‑term horizon, while short‑term caution is warranted due to bearish technical signals and decreasing volume.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term support but near resistance at 159.5
- Bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume signal caution
- Neutral RSI suggests limited upside momentum in the near term
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to DCF fair value and industry PE
- Forward earnings surge yielding a low forward PE of 7.5
- Strong cash flow and a sustainable dividend enhance total return
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Consistent cash generation supports dividend and debt servicing
- High debt‑to‑equity (≈45%) and modest ROE (≈5%) temper growth expectations
- Diversified end‑markets (mobile, automotive, IoT, green energy) provide resilience
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.70%
Profit Margin6.30%
P/E Ratio27.4
ROE4.96%
ROA1.29%
Debt/Equity44.99
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash FlowNT$6.1B
Free Cash FlowNT$5.9B
Industry P/E33.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI47.4
SupportNT$119.00
ResistanceNT$159.50
MA 20NT$133.03
MA 50NT$132.32
MA 200NT$104.69
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$170.68
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.86%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.79
Volatility78.98%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.